Game recaps

Every finished game through the model: the win-probability swings, the expected-goals race and the players who moved the result. The line on each card is the home team’s win probability. Upcoming games are on Tonight.

2026 playoffs

82 games

2026-06-14 · Stanley Cup Final
CAR3
VGK0
Top: Brandon Bussi +2.56
2026-06-11 · Stanley Cup Final
VGK2
CAR4
Top: Pavel Dorofeyev +1.61
2026-06-09 · Stanley Cup Final
CAR5
VGK3
Top: Jordan Staal +1.39
2026-06-06 · Stanley Cup Final
CAR4
VGK5
OT · Top: Mitch Marner +2.00
2026-06-04 · Stanley Cup Final
VGK3
CAR4
OT · Top: Brett Howden +1.46
2026-06-02 · Stanley Cup Final
VGK5
CAR4
Top: Nikolaj Ehlers +1.50
2026-05-26 · Conference final
COL1
VGK2
Top: Mackenzie Blackwood +0.79
2026-05-24 · Conference final
COL3
VGK5
Top: Tomas Hertl +0.87
2026-05-22 · Conference final
VGK3
COL1
Top: Carter Hart +1.23
2026-05-20 · Conference final
VGK4
COL2
Top: Carter Hart +2.03
2026-05-29 · Conference final
MTL1
CAR6
Top: Frederik Andersen +1.77
2026-05-27 · Conference final
CAR4
MTL0
Top: Jakub Dobes +2.11
2026-05-25 · Conference final
CAR3
MTL2
OT · Top: Jakub Dobes +2.11
2026-05-23 · Conference final
MTL2
CAR3
OT · Top: Josh Anderson +1.72
2026-05-21 · Conference final
MTL6
CAR2
Top: Eric Robinson +0.78
2026-05-14 · Second round
VGK5
ANA1
Top: Carter Hart +1.63
2026-05-12 · Second round
ANA2
VGK3
OT · Top: Pavel Dorofeyev +1.41
2026-05-10 · Second round
VGK3
ANA4
Top: Mikael Granlund +0.94
2026-05-08 · Second round
VGK6
ANA2
Top: Mitch Marner +2.03
2026-05-06 · Second round
ANA3
VGK1
Top: Lukas Dostal +1.41
2026-05-04 · Second round
ANA1
VGK3
Top: Carter Hart +2.07
2026-05-13 · Second round
MIN3
COL4
OT · Top: Nick Foligno +1.47
2026-05-11 · Second round
COL5
MIN2
Top: Parker Kelly +0.92
2026-05-09 · Second round
COL1
MIN5
Top: Jesper Wallstedt +2.35
2026-05-05 · Second round
MIN2
COL5
Top: Scott Wedgewood +1.06
2026-05-03 · Second round
MIN6
COL9
Top: Cale Makar +1.70
2026-05-09 · Second round
CAR3
PHI2
OT · Top: Jackson Blake +1.72
2026-05-07 · Second round
CAR4
PHI1
Top: Frederik Andersen +1.31
2026-05-04 · Second round
PHI2
CAR3
OT · Top: Frederik Andersen +1.33
2026-05-02 · Second round
PHI0
CAR3
Top: Frederik Andersen +1.39
2026-05-18 · Second round
MTL3
BUF2
OT · Top: Jakub Dobes +2.35
2026-05-16 · Second round
BUF8
MTL3
Top: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen +1.93
2026-05-14 · Second round
MTL6
BUF3
Top: Jake Evans +1.17
2026-05-12 · Second round
BUF3
MTL2
Top: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen +1.88
2026-05-10 · Second round
BUF2
MTL6
Top: Jakub Dobes +1.86
2026-05-08 · Second round
MTL5
BUF1
Top: Jakub Dobes +1.58
2026-05-06 · Second round
MTL2
BUF4
Top: Alex Lyon +1.00
2026-04-30 · First round
EDM2
ANA5
Top: Chris Kreider +0.85
2026-04-28 · First round
ANA1
EDM4
Top: Connor Ingram +1.38
2026-04-26 · First round
EDM3
ANA4
OT · Top: Jeffrey Viel +0.82
2026-04-24 · First round
EDM4
ANA7
Top: Leo Carlsson +0.87
2026-04-22 · First round
ANA6
EDM4
Top: Jacob Trouba +1.16
2026-04-20 · First round
ANA3
EDM4
Top: Troy Terry +1.65
2026-05-01 · First round
VGK5
UTA1
Top: Carter Hart +1.30
2026-04-29 · First round
UTA4
VGK5
OT · Top: Pavel Dorofeyev +2.08
2026-04-27 · First round
VGK5
UTA4
OT · Top: Brett Howden +1.80
2026-04-24 · First round
VGK2
UTA4
Top: Lawson Crouse +1.71
2026-04-21 · First round
UTA3
VGK2
Top: Logan Cooley +0.98
2026-04-19 · First round
UTA2
VGK4
Top: Colton Sissons +0.94
2026-04-30 · First round
DAL2
MIN5
Top: Quinn Hughes +1.67
2026-04-28 · First round
MIN4
DAL2
Top: Mats Zuccarello +0.89
2026-04-25 · First round
DAL2
MIN3
OT · Top: Jesper Wallstedt +1.29
2026-04-22 · First round
DAL4
MIN3
OT · Top: Joel Eriksson Ek +1.18
2026-04-20 · First round
MIN2
DAL4
Top: Brock Faber +1.42
2026-04-18 · First round
MIN6
DAL1
Top: Jesper Wallstedt +2.60
2026-04-26 · First round
COL5
LAK1
Top: Scott Wedgewood +1.23
2026-04-23 · First round
COL4
LAK2
Top: Cale Makar +1.13
2026-04-21 · First round
LAK1
COL2
OT · Top: Anton Forsberg +1.50
2026-04-19 · First round
LAK1
COL2
Top: Anton Forsberg +1.34
2026-04-29 · First round
PIT0
PHI1
OT · Top: Dan Vladar +3.51
2026-04-27 · First round
PHI2
PIT3
Top: Travis Sanheim +1.09
2026-04-25 · First round
PIT4
PHI2
Top: Arturs Silovs +1.25
2026-04-22 · First round
PIT2
PHI5
Top: Rasmus Ristolainen +0.84
2026-04-20 · First round
PHI3
PIT0
Top: Dan Vladar +2.10
2026-04-18 · First round
PHI3
PIT2
Top: Porter Martone +1.02
2026-04-25 · First round
CAR4
OTT2
Top: Frederik Andersen +1.80
2026-04-23 · First round
CAR2
OTT1
Top: Linus Ullmark +0.93
2026-04-20 · First round
OTT2
CAR3
OT · Top: Linus Ullmark +2.60
2026-04-18 · First round
OTT0
CAR2
Top: Frederik Andersen +2.21
2026-05-03 · First round
MTL2
TBL1
Top: Jakub Dobes +2.38
2026-05-01 · First round
TBL1
MTL0
OT · Top: Andrei Vasilevskiy +4.05
2026-04-29 · First round
MTL3
TBL2
Top: Jakub Dobes +1.84
2026-04-26 · First round
TBL3
MTL2
Top: Brandon Hagel +1.28
2026-04-24 · First round
TBL2
MTL3
OT · Top: Brandon Hagel +0.81
2026-04-21 · First round
MTL2
TBL3
OT · Top: Andrei Vasilevskiy +1.13
2026-04-19 · First round
MTL4
TBL3
OT · Top: Juraj Slafkovský +1.81
2026-05-01 · First round
BUF4
BOS1
Top: Zach Benson +1.32
2026-04-28 · First round
BOS2
BUF1
OT · Top: Jeremy Swayman +1.66
2026-04-26 · First round
BUF6
BOS1
Top: Bowen Byram +1.00
2026-04-23 · First round
BUF3
BOS1
Top: Alex Lyon +2.00
2026-04-21 · First round
BOS4
BUF2
Top: Jeremy Swayman +1.67
2026-04-19 · First round
BOS3
BUF4
Top: Tage Thompson +1.18