Net goals added per 84 games · 2003–04 to 2026–27
Every NHL player, priced in net goals.
Every shift, every shot, every faceoff, priced against what a league-average player would have done in the same situation. One number per skater, in goals, split ten ways so you can see where it comes from:
- EV offenseexpected goals for at even strength
- EV defenseexpected goals against at even strength
- Power playexpected goals for on the PP
- Penalty killexpected goals against on the PK
- Finishinggoals scored above what the chances said
- Playmakinglifting linemates’ chances and finishing
- Suppressionlowering opponents’ chances and finishing
- Penaltiestrips to the box drawn minus taken
- Faceoffsdraws won, valued by what happens next
- Shootoutthe skills competition, in standings points
Don’t take our word for it: each component links to one real season traced from the play-by-play to the card. New here? Start with win probability and leverage. Goalies get their own math: goals saved above expected.
Tonight
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 14 games
The model has called 59.4% of winners so far this season (69 games) All games →
10,000 simulated seasons
How it shakes out.
AtlanticPts · playoff
MetropolitanPts · playoff
CentralPts · playoff
Explore
Ratings, rosters and the season ahead, all in the same currency: goals.
- 01PlayersAll 939 active players in one sortable table. Sort by anything, find the guy your group chat is wrong about.
- 02TeamsEvery team’s projected lineup and forecast, from the top line to the seventh defenceman, each player linked to his card.
- 03TonightTonight’s slate through the model: who’s favoured, why, and which games actually move the playoff race.
- 04ChemistryWhich pairs, lines and five-man units are better together than apart. Chemistry you can put on a shot map.
- 05Standings2026–27 played out 10,000 times over projected rosters: points, playoff odds, and who’s sweating.
- 06Quirky StatsThe Shin-Pad Shooter, the Auto Glass Award and other hardware nobody hands out on awards night.
- 07Aging curvesWhen each skill peaks, which ones fade first, and how many good years your favourite player has left.
- 08TriviaTen questions a round, dealt from the site’s own ledgers. Every answer links to the page that settles the argument.
How it’s built
Show your work: the derivation, the evidence, and the vocabulary.
- 09Net Goals 101From a wrister off the rush to a number on a card, step by step, with every component worked through on a real season.
- 10Reading a cardEvery panel, row and number on a player card, annotated. The cheat sheet.
- 11ResearchEighteen studies, the duds included: what travels between teams, whether clutch is real, what a win costs.
- 12ReferenceEvery term on the site in one place, for when someone says ‘shrinkage’ and you nod along.