Career NG/82 vs player Elo

Each dot is one player on a current roster or UFA list. Across: career net goals per 82 games, shrunk the same way as the /players Career view (goalies: GSAx per 82). Up: current player Elo (1500 = average), the game model’s results rating: each result split by leverage-weighted net goals, every rating pulled 15% toward 1500 before a new season (how it works). The line is a least-squares fit.