COL beat LAK 2–1. COL also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen scored at 15:29 of the second, moving COL’s win probability from 53% to 75%. Anton Forsberg saved 1.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–COL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 15:29 |  COL | Artturi Lehkonen from Nathan MacKinnon | 0–1 | 53% → 75% |
| P3 5:50 | COL | Logan O'Connor from Jack Drury | 0–2 | 80% → 94% |
| P3 17:38 |  LAK | Artemi PanarinPP from Alex Laferriere, Brandt Clarke | 1–2 | 1% → 7% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin L | 20:07 | 1 | +0.79 | −0.05 | +0.83 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 25:21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 18:42 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.13 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 13:10 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 19:30 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cody Ceci D | 15:57 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 20:39 | −0.08 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Helenius C | 6:33 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jeff Malott L | 6:34 | −0.10 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 13:58 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 17:02 | −0.14 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Wright R | 11:19 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 20:30 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 15:40 | −0.25 | +0.05 | −0.36 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Mathieu Joseph R | 6:56 | −0.29 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 18:28 | −0.32 | +0.05 | −0.37 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 19:57 | −0.38 | −0.07 | −0.38 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 21:07 | −0.44 | +0.07 | −0.28 | −0.19 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg G | 58:42 | +1.34 |
COL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Connor R | 10:57 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.01 | +0.73 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 15:42 | 1 | +0.64 | +0.02 | +0.62 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jack Drury C | 10:10 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Josh Manson D | 15:56 | +0.15 | +0.04 | −0.08 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brent Burns D | 14:52 | +0.10 | +0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nazem Kadri C | 15:39 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Kulak D | 18:08 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Devon Toews D | 22:09 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Parker Kelly C | 13:40 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 16:24 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Landeskog L | 16:23 | −0.08 | +0.14 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 22:08 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.14 | −0.48 | +0.19 | +0.06 | |
| Joel Kiviranta L | 8:26 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Malinski D | 19:47 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cale Makar D | 24:25 | −0.34 | +0.08 | −0.42 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Necas C | 19:33 | −0.40 | +0.13 | −0.34 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 17:59 | −0.44 | −0.03 | −0.14 | −0.19 | −0.08 | ||
| Nicolas Roy C | 10:09 | −0.52 | −0.03 | −0.44 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood G | 60:00 | +1.21 |
Playoff recaps: the playoff ledgers have no per-game split of playmaking and suppression, so those credits stay inside the on-ice and finishing columns.
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.