PIT beat PHI 3–2. PIT also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 2.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kris Letang scored at 17:12 of the second, moving PIT’s win probability from 53% to 76%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–PIT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:45 | PIT | Elmer Soderblom from Anthony Mantha, Parker Wotherspoon | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P2 3:17 | PIT | Connor Dewar from Sidney Crosby, Blake Lizotte | 0–2 | 72% → 86% |
| P2 3:29 |  PHI | Alex Bump from Rasmus Ristolainen, Noah Cates | 1–2 | 14% → 28% |
| P2 15:06 | PHI | Travis Sanheim from Rasmus Ristolainen, Travis Konecny | 2–2 | 25% → 47% |
| P2 17:12 | PIT | Kris Letang from Sidney Crosby, Ryan Shea | 2–3 | 53% → 76% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Sanheim D | 23:30 | 1 | +1.09 | −0.01 | +0.91 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Bump L | 15:29 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.00 | +0.61 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Denver Barkey C | 13:09 | +0.09 | −0.01 | −0.09 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 16:19 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Tyson Foerster R | 16:11 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 10:42 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 11:15 | −0.02 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 12:13 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 18:01 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 19:29 | −0.17 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 22:22 | −0.18 | −0.14 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Andrae D | 11:00 | −0.22 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 22:53 | −0.25 | −0.14 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Porter Martone R | 15:32 | −0.26 | −0.17 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 19:32 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.26 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 23:21 | 2 | −0.27 | −0.18 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Christian Dvorak C | 18:43 | −0.28 | −0.13 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 8:17 | −0.62 | −0.01 | −0.22 | −0.39 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 58:02 | −0.66 |
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang D | 24:40 | 1 | +1.09 | +0.16 | +0.92 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Elmer Soderblom L | 10:50 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.05 | +0.58 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Dewar C | 12:14 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.64 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Evgeni Malkin C | 14:25 | +0.34 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.39 | −0.01 | ||
| Sidney Crosby C | 20:13 | 2 | +0.31 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.04 | |
| Noel Acciari C | 15:45 | +0.11 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Ryan Shea D | 17:03 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 21:03 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Egor Chinakhov R | 12:00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 13:49 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.12 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Ilya Solovyov D | 6:09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Girard D | 21:41 | −0.06 | +0.17 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 12:28 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.15 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Karlsson D | 26:23 | −0.14 | +0.10 | −0.05 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tommy Novak C | 14:04 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Ben Kindel C | 11:49 | −0.17 | +0.15 | −0.25 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Bryan Rust R | 20:37 | −0.25 | +0.13 | −0.38 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 20:59 | −0.54 | +0.09 | −0.61 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs G | 59:48 | −0.67 |
Playoff recaps: the playoff ledgers have no per-game split of playmaking and suppression, so those credits stay inside the on-ice and finishing columns.
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.