PHI beat PIT 3–0. PHI lost the expected-goals battle 1.8 to 2.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Porter Martone scored at 13:39 of the second, moving PHI’s win probability from 47% to 70%. Dan Vladar saved 2.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–PIT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 13:39 | PHI | Porter Martone from Travis Konecny, Christian Dvorak | 1–0 | 47% → 70% |
| P2 17:43 | PHI | Garnet HathawaySH from Owen Tippett | 2–0 | 71% → 88% |
| P3 17:55 | PHI | Luke GlendeningEN from Sean Couturier, Garnet Hathaway | 3–0 | 99% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garnet Hathaway R | 11:15 | 1 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.00 | +0.81 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Porter Martone R | 14:27 | 1 | +0.50 | −0.00 | +0.51 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 26:05 | +0.23 | +0.07 | −0.04 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 23:26 | +0.22 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 15:57 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.03 | −0.07 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 16:30 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.10 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 20:01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 13:03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Juulsen D | 7:21 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 17:43 | −0.02 | −0.13 | −0.10 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Denver Barkey C | 8:53 | −0.08 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 15:05 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Matvei Michkov R | 9:32 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 17:09 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.02 | −0.27 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Tyson Foerster R | 20:23 | −0.31 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 15:25 | −0.31 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 12:56 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.19 | −0.03 | |
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 24:49 | −0.48 | −0.13 | −0.16 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 60:00 | +2.10 |
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Dewar C | 11:47 | +0.43 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.39 | +0.00 | ||
| Noel Acciari C | 13:41 | +0.18 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Sidney Crosby C | 20:51 | +0.11 | −0.11 | −0.10 | +0.39 | −0.07 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 12:44 | +0.10 | +0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Clifton D | 11:34 | +0.07 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Shea D | 17:07 | +0.02 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 14:13 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Elmer Soderblom L | 8:39 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Girard D | 17:18 | −0.11 | +0.13 | −0.24 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Egor Chinakhov R | 15:47 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tommy Novak C | 13:14 | −0.14 | +0.08 | −0.24 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Bryan Rust R | 20:48 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 18:40 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 19:28 | −0.22 | −0.05 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgeni Malkin C | 17:20 | −0.37 | −0.03 | −0.15 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Karlsson D | 27:29 | −0.38 | −0.14 | −0.05 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Kindel C | 11:00 | −0.42 | +0.08 | −0.47 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Kris Letang D | 20:43 | −0.52 | +0.14 | −0.27 | −0.39 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner G | 59:31 | −0.17 |
Playoff recaps: the playoff ledgers have no per-game split of playmaking and suppression, so those credits stay inside the on-ice and finishing columns.
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.