COL beat LAK 2–1 in overtime. COL also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Nicolas Roy scored at 7:44 of overtime, moving COL’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Anton Forsberg saved 1.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–COL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 13:04 |  LAK | Artemi PanarinPP from Trevor Moore, Quinton Byfield | 1–0 | 50% → 84% |
| P3 16:25 |  COL | Gabriel Landeskog from Martin Necas, Devon Toews | 1–1 | 11% → 51% |
| OT 7:44 | COL | Nicolas Roy from Josh Manson, Nazem Kadri | 1–2 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin L | 23:38 | 1 | +0.81 | −0.16 | +0.78 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Mathieu Joseph R | 9:39 | +0.07 | −0.09 | −0.05 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Samuel Helenius C | 9:07 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 17:36 | −0.10 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 25:23 | −0.10 | −0.28 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Wright R | 12:11 | −0.13 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 16:52 | −0.13 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:13 | −0.14 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 18:03 | −0.15 | −0.09 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 17:54 | −0.16 | −0.08 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 28:46 | −0.17 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Malott L | 9:19 | −0.30 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 20:01 | −0.32 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 24:36 | −0.32 | −0.25 | −0.44 | +0.39 | −0.01 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 21:25 | −0.32 | −0.18 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 13:08 | −0.36 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 20:58 | 1 | −0.61 | −0.16 | −0.43 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Quinton Byfield R | 23:51 | 1 | −0.82 | −0.11 | −0.75 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg G | 82:46 | +1.50 |
COL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Roy C | 13:55 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.09 | +0.75 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Gabriel Landeskog L | 18:20 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.14 | +0.39 | −0.19 | −0.06 | |
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 20:08 | +0.19 | +0.09 | −0.09 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Devon Toews D | 27:37 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.15 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Malinski D | 20:41 | +0.15 | +0.17 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Manson D | 16:14 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.21 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 17:46 | +0.10 | +0.12 | −0.20 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Brent Burns D | 18:21 | +0.07 | +0.14 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Kiviranta L | 10:05 | +0.02 | +0.12 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jack Drury C | 11:12 | +0.02 | +0.06 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Logan O'Connor R | 9:38 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nazem Kadri C | 15:59 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.06 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cale Makar D | 28:49 | −0.08 | +0.23 | −0.12 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Kulak D | 20:33 | −0.16 | +0.06 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Parker Kelly C | 14:47 | −0.17 | +0.12 | −0.08 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 21:09 | −0.23 | +0.12 | −0.33 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 23:12 | −0.36 | +0.22 | −0.60 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Martin Necas C | 21:02 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.28 | −0.69 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood G | 67:28 | +1.28 |
Playoff recaps: the playoff ledgers have no per-game split of playmaking and suppression, so those credits stay inside the on-ice and finishing columns.
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.