PHI beat PIT 3–2. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 1.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Travis Sanheim scored at 10:00 of the third, moving PHI’s win probability from 48% to 80%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–PIT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 9:19 | PHI | Jamie Drysdale from Trevor Zegras, Denver Barkey | 1–0 | 47% → 68% |
| P2 15:51 |  PIT | Evgeni Malkin from Tommy Novak, Rickard Rakell | 1–1 | 29% → 53% |
| P3 10:00 | PHI | Travis Sanheim from Rasmus Ristolainen, Christian Dvorak | 2–1 | 48% → 80% |
| P3 17:23 | PHI | Porter Martone from Travis Konecny, Rasmus Ristolainen | 3–1 | 91% → 99% |
| P3 18:59 | PIT | Bryan RustPP from Evgeni Malkin, Erik Karlsson | 3–2 | 0% → 5% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porter Martone R | 15:47 | 1 | +1.02 | −0.05 | +0.87 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 20:57 | 1 | +1.01 | +0.13 | +0.88 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 23:20 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.12 | +0.74 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Cam York D | 22:02 | +0.23 | +0.23 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 11:25 | +0.13 | +0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 25:00 | 2 | +0.09 | +0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Garnet Hathaway R | 12:07 | +0.05 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 13:17 | +0.04 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Emil Andrae D | 9:39 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 14:04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 16:01 | −0.01 | +0.16 | −0.36 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 16:21 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Owen Tippett R | 16:37 | −0.04 | +0.26 | −0.30 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 15:47 | −0.14 | +0.05 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Denver Barkey C | 11:26 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.08 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Zegras C | 15:31 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.10 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Christian Dvorak C | 18:00 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.13 | −0.29 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Noah Cates L | 15:30 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 60:00 | −0.57 |
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evgeni Malkin C | 20:27 | 1 | 1 | +0.76 | −0.10 | +0.86 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Bryan Rust R | 20:55 | 1 | +0.63 | −0.06 | +0.69 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Clifton D | 14:22 | +0.12 | +0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sidney Crosby C | 19:36 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.20 | +0.19 | +0.05 | ||
| Ryan Shea D | 15:41 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 19:34 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Egor Chinakhov R | 16:16 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Dewar C | 11:35 | −0.06 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tommy Novak C | 13:26 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noel Acciari C | 9:21 | −0.11 | −0.12 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 11:38 | −0.14 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 17:53 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Ben Kindel C | 12:59 | −0.18 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Elmer Soderblom L | 10:25 | −0.25 | −0.10 | −0.34 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Karlsson D | 25:43 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.11 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Samuel Girard D | 18:20 | −0.27 | −0.27 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kris Letang D | 21:22 | −0.54 | −0.33 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 13:38 | −0.64 | −0.10 | −0.15 | −0.39 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner G | 57:40 | −0.75 |
Playoff recaps: the playoff ledgers have no per-game split of playmaking and suppression, so those credits stay inside the on-ice and finishing columns.
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.