Tonight: 9 gamesModel estimates, not official NHL statistics
puckmodel
ANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINMTLNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSHUFA
Boston Bruins › Matthew Poitras
Matthew Poitras
C · #51 · BOS · 22
Average career stats over an 84-game season
8
G
24
A
32
P
+1
+/−
24
PIM
13:10
TOI/GP
0:54
PP TOI/GP
0:01
SH TOI/GP
SeasonTeamTypeGPBox scoreNet goals per 84 gamesEloOn-ice contextContract
GAP+/−PIMEV offEV defPPPKFinPlaySuppPenFOSOOverallCompTop oppMatesTop linematesCap hit% of capNG/84
per $M
2023-24BOS3351015+46-0.012:28-0.1-0.20:54+0.10:01+0.1-0.6+0.1+4.3-0.8+0.0+3.0+14-0.9Chiarot 4%+0.4Lindholm 40%DeBrusk 36%Heinen 33%Shattenkirk 32%$0.87M1.0%+3.44
2024-25BOS3311011-58-1.612:06+0.5-1.60:57-0.10:00-2.3+1.4-0.0+3.7-0.3-0.0-0.4-5-0.1McCabe 4%-1.0Frederic 37%Lohrei 31%Zadorov 30%Coyle 29%$0.87M1.0%-0.47
2026-27BOS1000+12-2.211:24-0.8+0.1+0.10:04-0.0+7.1+0.0-0.3-2.5+0.0+1.4-2+0.0Halliday 50%+0.0Jeannot 86%Hagens 46%Borgen 46%Brunet 42%
2023-24BOS3351015+46-0.012:28-0.0-0.10:54+0.00:01+0.0-0.2+0.1+1.2-0.4-0.0+0.7+14-0.9Chiarot 4%+0.4Lindholm 40%DeBrusk 36%Heinen 33%Shattenkirk 32%$0.87M1.0%+0.83
2024-25BOS3311011-58-0.412:06+0.1-0.40:57+0.00:00-0.1+0.2+0.0+1.9-0.3-0.0+1.0-5-0.1McCabe 4%-1.0Frederic 37%Lohrei 31%Zadorov 30%Coyle 29%$0.87M1.0%+1.20
2026-27BOS1000+12-0.311:24+0.0-0.2+0.00:04-0.1+0.4+0.1+1.7-0.4+0.0+1.2-2+0.0Halliday 50%+0.0Jeannot 86%Hagens 46%Borgen 46%Brunet 42%
2023-24BOS3351015+46+0.012:28-0.0-0.00:54+0.00:01+0.0-0.4+0.4+1.2-0.4-0.0+0.91514-0.9Chiarot 4%+0.4Lindholm 40%DeBrusk 36%Heinen 33%Shattenkirk 32%$0.87M1.0%+1.03
2024-25BOS6662026-114-0.312:06+0.0-0.20:57+0.00:00-0.1+0.3+0.1+1.8-0.3-0.0+1.21506-0.5Chiarot 2%-0.3Lindholm 20%DeBrusk 18%Frederic 18%Heinen 17%$0.87M1.0%+1.43
2026-27BOS6772027+120-0.311:24+0.0-0.2+0.00:04-0.1+0.4+0.1+1.7-0.4+0.0+1.21499-0.4Chiarot 2%-0.3Lindholm 19%DeBrusk 17%Frederic 17%Heinen 16%$0.87M1.0%+1.44
NHL Edge — tracking, 2021-22 on
SeasonShot mphSpeed mph22+ /GP20–22 /GP18–20 /GPMiles /60
2023-240.000.93.89.5
2024-250.001.15.810.0
2026-270.000.05.010.6
Faceoff role
SeasonC GP%OZ FO%DZ FO%
2023-24100%14.9%8.2%
2024-2570%9.5%2.5%
2026-27100%6.7%11.8%
Career85%12.1%5.5%

2026-27 projection

How it was builthis last five seasons, aged, weighted by recency, shrunk toward a prior

+2.5 NG/84 · 1 projected GP → +0.0 net goals over the season

The seasons behind it (NG/84)
SeasonGPNG/84Age adjAged
2023-2433+3.17+1.75+4.91
2024-2533-0.25+0.84+0.59
2026-27 so far1+1.41+0.00+1.41
Component by component (NG/84)
His rateMemorynPriorTrustProjected
EV offense-0.411.2 yr61+0.3850%-0.01
EV defense+0.030.7 yr50-0.1323%-0.09
Power play-0.960.9 yr56+0.0927%-0.20
Penalty kill+0.081.2 yr61+0.0323%+0.04
Finishing-1.244.3 yr67+0.4319%+0.11
Playmaking+1.152.4 yr65+0.2070%+0.86
Suppression+0.060.9 yr56-0.00100%+0.06
Penalties+3.774.3 yr67+0.2548%+1.93
Faceoffs-0.330.9 yr56-0.0568%-0.24
Shootout+0.0913.5 yr67+0.030%+0.03
NG/84+2.24+1.22+2.50

1. Age. Every past season is first moved to his 2026-27 age along each component's career curve (Age adj: what a typical player gains or loses between that age and this one). Games from 2026-27 so far count like 2025-26 games, with no age adjustment. 2. Recency. Per component, the seasons are averaged with weights that fall off with age; Memory is the half-life in seasons, fitted walk-forward (penalty kill and EV defense change fast, finishing and playmaking slowly). 3. Shrinkage. Each component is pulled toward the average forward who reached the NHL at 19 or younger (Prior). Trust = n / (n + K): n is the effective number of games behind the weighted rate, K how many games of evidence that component needs before it outweighs the prior (fitted walk-forward on 2013-2025-26 seasons). Projected = Trust × his rate + (1 − Trust) × Prior. The ten projected components add up to his NG/84, the number the standings simulation dresses him at. Proj GP = games played so far plus the games the standings simulation dresses him for (injuries from ESPN return dates; goalies split 65/35 starter/backup).

Over time

Career net goalsrunning total vs a league-average player
'24'25'26'27+2+1

Games and opponents

Single-game net goalsshare of his 70 games by that night’s total
10%20%-0.50 to -0.40 net goals: 4.3% of games (3)-0.40 to -0.30 net goals: 1.4% of games (1)-0.30 to -0.20 net goals: 8.6% of games (6)-0.20 to -0.10 net goals: 14.3% of games (10)-0.10 to +0.00 net goals: 25.7% of games (18)+0.00 to +0.10 net goals: 14.3% of games (10)+0.10 to +0.20 net goals: 12.9% of games (9)+0.20 to +0.30 net goals: 5.7% of games (4)+0.30 to +0.40 net goals: 10.0% of games (7)+0.70 to +0.80 net goals: 1.4% of games (1)+1.90 to +2.00 net goals: 1.4% of games (1)-2-10+1+2+3mean +0.0241%above 054%below 0
Best game +1.92 net goals · Oct 22, 2023 at ANA (W 3–1) · Game recap →
Vs competition quartilescareer at 5v5, opposing fives ranked by average net goals/84
NET GOALS/84 VS AVERAGE, SAME QUARTILESHARE OF 5v5 TIME■ HOME ■ AWAYvs Q4 Toughestopposing five avg +2.0Career vs Q4: +0.0 net goals/84 above an average forward facing the same quartile; 122 min = 16% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off +0.0, EV def -0.1, finishing -0.2, playmaking/suppression share +0.1; on-ice xGF% 44.1 (league 45.1), goals 6-5+0.0Home games: 69 of 425 career 5v5 min vs Q4 (16.3%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 16.0%)16%Away games: 53 of 338 career 5v5 min vs Q4 (15.7%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 16.0%)16%vs Q3 Toughopposing five avg +0.5Career vs Q3: +4.7 net goals/84 above an average forward facing the same quartile; 187 min = 24% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.4, EV def +0.3, finishing +0.6, playmaking/suppression share +0.3; on-ice xGF% 50.5 (league 49.2), goals 7-6+4.7Home games: 94 of 425 career 5v5 min vs Q3 (22.0%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 24.5%)22%Away games: 93 of 338 career 5v5 min vs Q3 (27.6%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 24.5%)28%vs Q2 Easyopposing five avg -0.4Career vs Q2: -5.7 net goals/84 above an average forward facing the same quartile; 198 min = 26% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.2, EV def +0.3, finishing -1.5, playmaking/suppression share +0.3; on-ice xGF% 52.8 (league 51.1), goals 6-10-5.7Home games: 114 of 425 career 5v5 min vs Q2 (26.7%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 25.9%)27%Away games: 84 of 338 career 5v5 min vs Q2 (24.9%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 25.9%)25%vs Q1 Easiestopposing five avg -1.3Career vs Q1: +6.0 net goals/84 above an average forward facing the same quartile; 256 min = 34% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off +0.3, EV def +0.5, finishing +1.1, playmaking/suppression share +0.2; on-ice xGF% 56.5 (league 55.6), goals 11-5+6.0Home games: 149 of 425 career 5v5 min vs Q1 (35.0%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 33.6%)35%Away games: 108 of 338 career 5v5 min vs Q1 (31.8%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 33.6%)32%25% = even−12.60+12.6

Plus/minus by situation

+/− by manpowerthe official +/- split by situation; goalie-in +/- leaves out the empty nets
Even strengthPower playPenalty killGoalie pulled
SeasonTeamGP+/−5v54v43v35v45v34v34v53v53v46v55v6OtherGoalie in
2023-24BOS33+4+4+1-20000000+10+3
2024-25BOS33-5-1-10-300000000-5
2025-26BOS3+1+100000000000+1
2026-27BOS1+1+100000000000+1
Total70+1+50-2-3000000+100

How each state adds to the official +/-: at even strength every goal counts; on his power play only a shorthanded goal against counts (a minus), on his penalty kill only a shorthanded goal for (a plus). Other is whatever the official +/- has left, so each row adds up: mostly empty-net goals against while his team pulled its goalie on a power play (6-on-4). Goalie in = the official +/- without 6v5 and 5v6. 6v5 and 5v6 +/- do not carry over from season to season (r 0.02 and 0.15): they mostly show who is sent out when a goalie is pulled. Since 2010-11; hover a cell for minutes and the goals behind it.

Shots

Best finishes on videohis lowest-xG goals with a highlight clip (2018-19 on), starred on the rink above
xGHighlightDateOppGoalieSitShot
★10.061Poitras' nice backhand goal ▸Feb 1, 2026at TBLAndrei VasilevskiyEVBackhand
★20.086Poitras scores first NHL goal ▸Oct 22, 2023at ANAJohn GibsonEVTip-in
★30.108Poitras scores second goal ▸Oct 22, 2023at ANAJohn GibsonEVTip-in
★40.112Poitras' slick opening goal ▸Nov 2, 2024at PHIAleksei KolosovEVWrist
★50.129Poitras caps off nice passing ▸Nov 27, 2023at CBJSpencer MartinEVWrist

Goalie matchups

Career G − xG by goaliegoalies he has scored on most and least relative to xG
Most success against
GoalieGmSOGGxGG−xG
John Gibson3821.1+0.9
Andrei Vasilevskiy2310.2+0.8
Aleksei Kolosov1210.3+0.7
Least success against
GoalieGmSOGGxGG−xG
Sergei Bobrovsky4600.8-0.8
Samuel Ersson1400.6-0.6
Marc-Andre Fleury1300.4-0.4

Faceoffs

Faceoffs by dotcareer since 2023-24, shoots R
OWN ZONENEUTRAL ZONEATTACKING ZONE →Own-zone left: 6-7 (46.2%, league 53.3%); 3.2% of his draws, league 14.3%—3% · lg 14%Own-zone right: 37-34 (52.1%, league 47.3%); 17.4% of his draws, league 20.7%52.1%+4.817% · lg 21%Neutral, own side, left: 3-6 (33.3%, league 53.9%); 2.2% of his draws, league 2.9%—2% · lg 3%Neutral, own side, right: 14-8 (63.6%, league 45.7%); 5.4% of his draws, league 2.8%63.6%+18.05% · lg 3%Centre ice: 42-63 (40.0%, league 50.0%); 25.7% of his draws, league 18.8%40.0%-10.026% · lg 19%Neutral, attacking side, left: 3-6 (33.3%, league 54.7%); 2.2% of his draws, league 2.8%—2% · lg 3%Neutral, attacking side, right: 11-10 (52.4%, league 46.5%); 5.1% of his draws, league 2.9%52.4%+5.95% · lg 3%Attacking-zone left: 6-11 (35.3%, league 52.8%); 4.2% of his draws, league 20.7%—4% · lg 21%Attacking-zone right: 57-84 (40.4%, league 46.7%); 34.6% of his draws, league 14.3%40.4%-6.235% · lg 14%

43.9% won -4.5

408 draws; the league wins 48.4% at the dots he takes

Draw mixHis drawsLeague
Own zone21%35%
Neutral41%30%
Attacking39%35%

Drawn from his side: he attacks left to right, his left at the top. Circle: his win% at that dot, colored by how far it sits above (blue) or below (red) the league there, the small number (±10 scale). Bar: his share of all his draws taken there, the tick the league share (0–30% of his draws; 0–60% on the power play and penalty kill).