Games today: 4
puckmodel
ANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINMTLNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSHUFA
Minnesota Wild › Matt Kiersted
Matt Kiersted
D · #26 · MIN · 28 · 6′0″ · 182 lb
DraftUndrafted
Cap hit
$850,000
0.8% of the $104M cap
Year 2 of 2 · final year
25-2626-27
UFA · summer 2027 · age 29
Average career stats over an 84-game season
4
G
11
A
15
P
-13
+/−
22
PIM
12:31
TOI/GP
0:05
PP TOI/GP
0:44
SH TOI/GP
SeasonTeamTypeBox scoreNet goals per 84 gamesEloOn-ice contextContract
GPGAP+/−PIMPPPSHPGWGSOGHITBLKTKGVHITTOZ/DZ
starts		EV offEV defPPPKFinPlaySuppPenFOSOOverallCompTop oppMatesTop linematesCap hitPlayer
value		Contract
value
2021-22FLA10112-8200011101737211.40-0.913:11+0.2+0.10:01-1.10:50+2.3-1.5-1.5+1.2+0.0+0.0-1.1+8-1.4Roy6.8%+2.4Montour28%Luostarinen27%Lomberg26%Reinhart22%$0.86M1.1%$1.4M1.7%+$0.6M
2022-23FLA20134+460001413717351.92+1.29:26+1.4+0.1+0.00:24+0.7-0.4-0.7+1.3+0.0+0.0+3.8-5-1.0Braun5.9%+0.7Staal56%Lomberg27%Luostarinen26%Staal24%$0.76M0.9%$2.2M2.6%+$1.4M
2021-22FLA10112-8200011101737211.40-0.113:11+0.0+0.00:01-0.00:50+0.0-0.2-0.8+0.1-0.0-0.0-1.0+8-1.4Roy6.8%+2.4Montour28%Luostarinen27%Lomberg26%Reinhart22%$0.86M1.1%$1.4M1.7%+$0.6M
2022-23FLA20134+460001413717351.92+0.19:26+0.2+0.0-0.00:24+0.1-0.4-0.7+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.5-5-1.0Braun5.9%+0.7Staal56%Lomberg27%Luostarinen26%Staal24%$0.76M0.9%$2.2M2.6%+$1.4M
2021-22FLA10112-124000171127414370.90-0.113:11+0.0+0.00:01-0.00:50+0.0-0.5-0.8+0.1-0.0-0.0-1.21505-0.9Pesce6.4%+2.3Gudas19%Montour16%Luostarinen15%Lomberg15%$0.86M1.1%$1.4M1.7%+$0.6M
2022-23FLA30246-810000312434521721.21+0.19:26+0.1+0.0-0.00:24+0.0-0.6-0.2+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.31499-1.0Pesce3.5%+1.6Staal25%Luostarinen20%Lomberg20%Staal11%$0.83M1.0%$1.8M2.2%+$1.0M

Game log

Every regular-season game, one night at a time: the box score, then the net goals that game added to his rating, by component, in goals. The season table above shows the same per 84 games. Click a column to sort.

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2026-27 projection

How it was builthis last five seasons, aged, weighted by recency, shrunk toward a prior

-0.1 NG/84

The seasons behind it (NG/84)
SeasonGPNG/84Age adjAged
2021-2210-0.64-0.44-1.08
2022-2320+3.77-0.45+3.32
Component by component (NG/84)
His rateMemorynPriorTrustProjected
EV offense+0.750.9 yr27-0.1138%+0.22
EV defense+1.000.9 yr27+0.1822%+0.36
Power play+0.080.9 yr27+0.0133%+0.04
Penalty kill-0.041.2 yr28-0.0519%-0.05
Finishing+1.254.3 yr30-0.0517%+0.17
Playmaking-0.852.4 yr30+0.0469%-0.58
Suppression-0.660.9 yr27+0.00100%-0.65
Penalties+0.944.3 yr30-0.0445%+0.41
Faceoffs-0.000.9 yr27-0.0067%-0.00
Shootout+0.0513.5 yr30-0.000%-0.00
NG/84+2.53-0.03-0.10

1. Age. Every past season is first moved to his 2026-27 age along each component's career curve (Age adj: what a typical player gains or loses between that age and this one). Games from 2026-27 so far count like 2025-26 games, with no age adjustment. 2. Recency. Per component, the seasons are averaged with weights that fall off with age; Memory is the half-life in seasons, fitted walk-forward (penalty kill and EV defense change fast, finishing and playmaking slowly). 3. Shrinkage. Each component is pulled toward the average defenseman who reached the NHL at 22-23 (Prior). Trust = n / (n + K): n is the effective number of games behind the weighted rate, K how many games of evidence that component needs before it outweighs the prior (fitted walk-forward on 2013-2025-26 seasons, then every K is multiplied by 0.5: shrinking the ten components one at a time ignores that a player above the prior in one is usually above it in the others, which compressed the total by about a fifth). Projected = Trust × his rate + (1 − Trust) × Prior. The ten projected components add up to his NG/84, the number the standings simulation dresses him at. Proj GP = games played so far plus the games the standings simulation dresses him for (injuries from ESPN return dates; goalies split 65/35 starter/backup).

Over time

Career net goalsrunning total vs a league-average player
'21'22'23'25'26FLAMIN-0

Games and opponents

Single-game net goalsshare of his 45 games by that night’s total
10%20%30%-0.40 to -0.30 net goals: 2.2% of games (1)-0.30 to -0.20 net goals: 4.4% of games (2)-0.20 to -0.10 net goals: 13.3% of games (6)-0.10 to +0.00 net goals: 28.9% of games (13)+0.00 to +0.10 net goals: 28.9% of games (13)+0.10 to +0.20 net goals: 17.8% of games (8)+0.20 to +0.30 net goals: 2.2% of games (1)+0.40 to +0.50 net goals: 2.2% of games (1)-2-10+1+2+3mean -0.0049%above 049%below 0
Best game +0.40 net goals · Dec 16, 2021 vs LAK (L 1–4) · Game recap →
Vs competition quartilescareer at 5v5, opposing fives ranked by average net goals/84
NET GOALS/84 VS AVERAGE, SAME QUARTILESHARE OF 5v5 TIME■ HOME ■ AWAYvs Q4 Toughestopposing five avg +1.8under 60 minHome games: 17 of 152 career 5v5 min vs Q4 (11.3%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 9.7%)11%Away games: 14 of 165 career 5v5 min vs Q4 (8.2%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 9.7%)8%vs Q3 Toughopposing five avg +0.4Career vs Q3: -4.9 net goals/84 above an average defenseman facing the same quartile; 82 min = 26% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.1, EV def -0.1, finishing -0.2, playmaking/suppression share -0.2; on-ice xGF% 46.9 (league 48.7), goals 4-4-4.9Home games: 49 of 152 career 5v5 min vs Q3 (32.4%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 25.9%)32%Away games: 33 of 165 career 5v5 min vs Q3 (19.8%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 25.9%)20%vs Q2 Easyopposing five avg -0.3Career vs Q2: +6.0 net goals/84 above an average defenseman facing the same quartile; 75 min = 24% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.1, EV def +0.1, finishing +0.7, playmaking/suppression share -0.2; on-ice xGF% 56.0 (league 51.3), goals 3-5+6.0Home games: 44 of 152 career 5v5 min vs Q2 (29.1%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 23.8%)29%Away games: 31 of 165 career 5v5 min vs Q2 (18.9%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 23.8%)19%vs Q1 Easiestopposing five avg -1.2Career vs Q1: +1.2 net goals/84 above an average defenseman facing the same quartile; 129 min = 41% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off +0.1, EV def +0.2, finishing +0.4, playmaking/suppression share -0.3; on-ice xGF% 56.5 (league 55.6), goals 4-8+1.2Home games: 41 of 152 career 5v5 min vs Q1 (27.2%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 40.6%)27%Away games: 87 of 165 career 5v5 min vs Q1 (53.1%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 40.6%)53%25% = even−12.60+12.6

Plus/minus by situation

+/− by manpowerthe official +/- split by situation; goalie-in +/- leaves out the empty nets
Even strengthPower playPenalty killGoalie pulled
SeasonTeamGP+/−5v54v43v35v45v34v34v53v53v46v55v6OtherGoalie in
2020-21FLA7-4-300000000-100-3
2021-22FLA10-8-800000000000-8
2022-23FLA20+4+400000000000+4
2024-25FLA2+1+100000000000+1
2025-26MIN60-1000000000+10-1
Total45-7-700000000-1+10-7

How each state adds to the official +/-: at even strength every goal counts; on his power play only a shorthanded goal against counts (a minus), on his penalty kill only a shorthanded goal for (a plus). Other is whatever the official +/- has left, so each row adds up: mostly empty-net goals against while his team pulled its goalie on a power play (6-on-4). Goalie in = the official +/- without 6v5 and 5v6. 6v5 and 5v6 +/- do not carry over from season to season (r 0.02 and 0.15): they mostly show who is sent out when a goalie is pulled. Since 2010-11; hover a cell for minutes and the goals behind it.

Goalie matchups

Career G − xG by goaliegoalies he has scored on most and least relative to xG
Most success against
GoalieGmSOGGxGG−xG
Jonathan Quick1210.1+0.9
Alex Nedeljkovic2210.4+0.6
Alex Stalock1100.0+0.0
Least success against
GoalieGmSOGGxGG−xG
Joonas Korpisalo2300.2-0.2
Anton Khudobin1100.1-0.1
Linus Ullmark1200.1-0.1