Tonight: 9 gamesModel estimates, not official NHL statistics
puckmodel
ANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINMTLNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSHUFA
Winnipeg Jets › Elias Salomonsson
Elias Salomonsson
D · #57 · WPG · 22
Average career stats over an 84-game season
3
G
10
A
13
P
-16
+/−
32
PIM
17:57
TOI/GP
0:21
PP TOI/GP
0:48
SH TOI/GP
SeasonTeamTypeGPBox scoreNet goals per 84 gamesEloOn-ice contextContract
GAP+/−PIMEV offEV defPPPKFinPlaySuppPenFOSOOverallCompTop oppMatesTop linematesCap hit% of capNG/84
per $M
2025-26WPG32145-612+0.716:47+0.8+0.70:21+0.70:48-1.4-2.1+1.2-1.3+0.0+0.0-0.6-16+0.7Nelson 4%-0.4Samberg 62%Connor 32%Scheifele 32%Lowry 30%$0.81M0.9%-0.68
2025-26WPG32145-612+0.216:47+0.1+0.20:21+0.10:48-0.1-0.7+1.0-0.4-0.0-0.0+0.4-16+0.7Nelson 4%-0.4Samberg 62%Connor 32%Scheifele 32%Lowry 30%$0.81M0.9%+0.53
2025-26WPG32145-612+0.116:47+0.1+0.10:21+0.10:48-0.1-1.2+0.9-0.4+0.0-0.0-0.41484+0.7Nelson 4%-0.4Samberg 62%Connor 32%Scheifele 32%Lowry 30%$0.81M0.9%-0.55
NHL Edge — tracking, 2021-22 on
SeasonShot mphSpeed mph22+ /GP20–22 /GP18–20 /GPMiles /60
2025-260.000.53.88.7

2026-27 projection

How it was builthis last five seasons, aged, weighted by recency, shrunk toward a prior

-0.4 NG/84 · 78 projected GP → -0.3 net goals over the season

The seasons behind it (NG/84)
SeasonGPNG/84Age adjAged
2025-2632-1.32+0.25-1.07
Component by component (NG/84)
His rateMemorynPriorTrustProjected
EV offense+0.641.2 yr32-0.2534%+0.05
EV defense+0.690.7 yr32+0.0616%+0.16
Power play+0.820.9 yr32-0.0118%+0.14
Penalty kill+0.841.2 yr32+0.0213%+0.13
Finishing-1.394.3 yr32-0.0510%-0.19
Playmaking-2.182.4 yr32+0.0553%-1.14
Suppression+0.920.9 yr32+0.00100%+0.92
Penalties-1.444.3 yr32-0.0331%-0.46
Faceoffs+0.000.9 yr32-0.0055%+0.00
Shootout+0.0313.5 yr32+0.020%+0.02
NG/84-1.07-0.19-0.37

1. Age. Every past season is first moved to his 2026-27 age along each component's career curve (Age adj: what a typical player gains or loses between that age and this one). Games from 2026-27 so far count like 2025-26 games, with no age adjustment. 2. Recency. Per component, the seasons are averaged with weights that fall off with age; Memory is the half-life in seasons, fitted walk-forward (penalty kill and EV defense change fast, finishing and playmaking slowly). 3. Shrinkage. Each component is pulled toward the average defenseman who reached the NHL at 21 (Prior). Trust = n / (n + K): n is the effective number of games behind the weighted rate, K how many games of evidence that component needs before it outweighs the prior (fitted walk-forward on 2013-2025-26 seasons). Projected = Trust × his rate + (1 − Trust) × Prior. The ten projected components add up to his NG/84, the number the standings simulation dresses him at. Proj GP = games played so far plus the games the standings simulation dresses him for (injuries from ESPN return dates; goalies split 65/35 starter/backup).

Games and opponents

Single-game net goalsshare of his 32 games by that night’s total
10%20%30%-0.40 to -0.30 net goals: 3.1% of games (1)-0.30 to -0.20 net goals: 12.5% of games (4)-0.20 to -0.10 net goals: 15.6% of games (5)-0.10 to +0.00 net goals: 18.8% of games (6)+0.00 to +0.10 net goals: 31.2% of games (10)+0.10 to +0.20 net goals: 12.5% of games (4)+0.20 to +0.30 net goals: 3.1% of games (1)+0.50 to +0.60 net goals: 3.1% of games (1)-2-10+1+2+3mean -0.0147%above 050%below 0
Best game +0.56 net goals · Feb 27, 2026 at ANA (L 4–5 OT) · Game recap →
Vs competition quartilescareer at 5v5, opposing fives ranked by average net goals/84
NET GOALS/84 VS AVERAGE, SAME QUARTILESHARE OF 5v5 TIME■ HOME ■ AWAYvs Q4 Toughestopposing five avg +2.0Career vs Q4: -4.4 net goals/84 above an average defenseman facing the same quartile; 141 min = 28% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.3, EV def -0.2, finishing -0.2, playmaking/suppression share -0.0; on-ice xGF% 42.8 (league 45.6), goals 5-5-4.4Home games: 67 of 246 career 5v5 min vs Q4 (27.4%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 27.6%)27%Away games: 74 of 265 career 5v5 min vs Q4 (27.8%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 27.6%)28%vs Q3 Toughopposing five avg +0.5Career vs Q3: +3.2 net goals/84 above an average defenseman facing the same quartile; 138 min = 27% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.1, EV def +0.1, finishing +0.3, playmaking/suppression share -0.0; on-ice xGF% 49.5 (league 48.9), goals 5-6+3.2Home games: 69 of 246 career 5v5 min vs Q3 (28.2%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 27.1%)28%Away games: 69 of 265 career 5v5 min vs Q3 (26.0%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 27.1%)26%vs Q2 Easyopposing five avg -0.4Career vs Q2: -3.2 net goals/84 above an average defenseman facing the same quartile; 118 min = 23% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off +0.3, EV def +0.2, finishing -0.7, playmaking/suppression share -0.0; on-ice xGF% 59.4 (league 50.8), goals 3-5-3.2Home games: 52 of 246 career 5v5 min vs Q2 (21.3%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 23.1%)21%Away games: 66 of 265 career 5v5 min vs Q2 (24.8%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 23.1%)25%vs Q1 Easiestopposing five avg -1.3Career vs Q1: +0.9 net goals/84 above an average defenseman facing the same quartile; 114 min = 22% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off +0.1, EV def +0.4, finishing -0.2, playmaking/suppression share -0.0; on-ice xGF% 59.3 (league 55.5), goals 2-2+0.9Home games: 57 of 246 career 5v5 min vs Q1 (23.2%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 22.2%)23%Away games: 57 of 265 career 5v5 min vs Q1 (21.4%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 22.2%)21%25% = even−12.60+12.6

Plus/minus by situation

+/− by manpowerthe official +/- split by situation; goalie-in +/- leaves out the empty nets
Even strengthPower playPenalty killGoalie pulled
SeasonTeamGP+/−5v54v43v35v45v34v34v53v53v46v55v6OtherGoalie in
2025-26WPG32-6-300000000-300-3
Total32-6-300000000-300-3

How each state adds to the official +/-: at even strength every goal counts; on his power play only a shorthanded goal against counts (a minus), on his penalty kill only a shorthanded goal for (a plus). Other is whatever the official +/- has left, so each row adds up: mostly empty-net goals against while his team pulled its goalie on a power play (6-on-4). Goalie in = the official +/- without 6v5 and 5v6. 6v5 and 5v6 +/- do not carry over from season to season (r 0.02 and 0.15): they mostly show who is sent out when a goalie is pulled. Since 2010-11; hover a cell for minutes and the goals behind it.

Shots

Best finishes on videohis lowest-xG goals with a highlight clip (2018-19 on), starred on the rink above
xGHighlightDateOppGoalieSitShot
★10.051Salomonsson nets first NHL goal ▸Feb 27, 2026at ANALukas DostalEVSnap

Goalie matchups

Career G − xG by goaliegoalies he has scored on most and least relative to xG
Most success against
GoalieGmSOGGxGG−xG
Lukas Dostal1410.5+0.6
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen1100.0+0.0
Dylan Garand1100.0-0.0
Least success against
GoalieGmSOGGxGG−xG
Andrei Vasilevskiy1600.2-0.2
Jakub Dobes1100.2-0.2
Juuse Saros1300.2-0.2