ANA beat WPG 5–4 in overtime. ANA also won the expected-goals battle 5.5 to 4.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Chris Kreider scored at 4:47 of overtime, moving ANA’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WPG–ANA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:24 |  WPG | Alex Iafallo from Cole Perfetti, Dylan Samberg | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P2 2:25 | WPG | Gabriel VilardiPP from Kyle Connor, Logan Stanley | 2–0 | 67% → 81% |
| P2 19:19 |  ANA | Jacob Trouba from Tim Washe | 2–1 | 11% → 28% |
| P3 1:27 | WPG | Elias Salomonsson from Adam Lowry, Alex Iafallo | 3–1 | 73% → 90% |
| P3 6:32 | ANA | Leo CarlssonPP from Jackson LaCombe, Beckett Sennecke | 3–2 | 7% → 23% |
| P3 9:59 | ANA | Pavel Mintyukov from Beckett Sennecke, Drew Helleson | 3–3 | 20% → 52% |
| P3 16:50 | ANA | Ryan Poehling from Alex Killorn, Pavel Mintyukov | 3–4 | 49% → 91% |
| P3 18:38 | WPG | Kyle ConnorPP from Cole Perfetti, Logan Stanley | 4–4 | 6% → 50% |
| OT 4:47 | ANA | Chris Kreider from Beckett Sennecke | 4–5 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Iafallo L | 14:57 | 1 | 1 | +0.84 | −0.07 | +0.91 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 22:32 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.22 | +0.64 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Elias Salomonsson D | 17:40 | 1 | +0.56 | +0.02 | +0.54 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Connor L | 27:28 | 1 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.07 | +0.59 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Cole Koepke L | 9:04 | +0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 3:51 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 24:28 | −0.16 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Pearson L | 12:02 | −0.20 | +0.08 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 16:58 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.13 | −0.56 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.07 | |
| Dylan Samberg D | 24:20 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.12 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Luke Schenn D | 13:39 | −0.22 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Perfetti C | 21:31 | 2 | −0.28 | +0.13 | −0.41 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Logan Stanley D | 28:57 | 2 | −0.41 | −0.07 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ville Heinola D | 12:07 | −0.42 | −0.14 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Scheifele C | 27:20 | −0.43 | −0.21 | −0.20 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 12:47 | −0.43 | −0.18 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Morgan Barron C | 14:01 | −0.51 | −0.11 | −0.37 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 14:00 | −0.63 | −0.42 | −0.23 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 83:51 | +0.27 |
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Trouba D | 26:57 | 1 | +1.18 | +0.45 | +0.69 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Leo Carlsson C | 21:35 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.21 | +0.50 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.04 | |
| Ryan Poehling C | 19:40 | 1 | +0.64 | −0.05 | +0.75 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Chris Kreider L | 19:58 | 1 | +0.55 | +0.27 | +0.29 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Mintyukov D | 20:28 | 1 | 1 | +0.36 | −0.18 | +0.77 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Cutter Gauthier L | 18:30 | +0.35 | +0.23 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 10:51 | +0.04 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeffrey Viel L | 14:50 | −0.07 | +0.27 | −0.33 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 16:13 | −0.10 | +0.11 | −0.24 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jackson LaCombe D | 29:32 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.61 | −0.70 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Beckett Sennecke R | 19:56 | 3 | −0.15 | +0.24 | −0.37 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mason McTavish C | 12:01 | −0.21 | +0.07 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Alex Killorn L | 15:10 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Tim Washe C | 11:23 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.18 | −0.24 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Ian Moore D | 13:06 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Drew Helleson D | 15:53 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jansen Harkins C | 11:56 | −0.50 | +0.06 | −0.57 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Olen Zellweger D | 14:39 | −0.68 | −0.08 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.39 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal G | 64:47 | +0.09 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.