Tonight: 3 gamesModel estimates, not official NHL statistics
puckmodel
ANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINMTLNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSHUFA
Florida Panthers › Cole Schwindt
Cole Schwindt
RW · #79 · FLA · 25
Average career stats over an 84-game season
6
G
10
A
16
P
+0
+/−
4
PIM
9:36
TOI/GP
0:05
PP TOI/GP
0:26
SH TOI/GP
SeasonTeamTypeGPBox scoreNet goals per 84 gamesEloPlayoffsOn-ice contextContract
GAP+/−PIMEV offEV defPPPKFinPlaySuppPenFOSOOverallCompTop oppMatesTop linematesCap hit% of capNG/84
per $M
2024-25VGK42178+30-1.08:58+0.9+0.00:00+0.30:16-3.0+0.0+1.1+3.2+0.0-0.0+1.6+22+0.81 GP-0.3Keller4%+0.4Holtz42%Pearson40%McNabb35%Hanifin32%$0.80M0.9%+1.99
2025-26FLA29527+22-0.09:01+1.3-0.10:13+0.40:47+1.9-0.0+0.8-0.4-0.7-0.0+3.0+11+0.2Sabourin4%-0.4Greer45%Petry31%Sebrango28%Gregor27%$0.82M0.9%+3.61
2024-25VGK42178+30-0.38:58+0.2+0.00:00+0.10:16-0.1+0.0+0.9+1.1+0.0-0.0+1.8+22+0.81 GP-0.3Keller4%+0.4Holtz42%Pearson40%McNabb35%Hanifin32%$0.80M0.9%+2.25
2025-26FLA29527+22-0.39:01+0.3-0.00:13+0.10:47-0.1-0.1+0.8+0.7-0.3-0.0+1.2+11+0.2Sabourin4%-0.4Greer45%Petry31%Sebrango28%Gregor27%$0.82M0.9%+1.46
2024-25VGK42178-22-0.38:58+0.1+0.00:00+0.00:16-0.1-0.1+0.9+1.1+0.0-0.0+1.51514+0.81 GP-0.7Keller3%+0.3Holtz35%Pearson34%McNabb29%Hanifin27%$0.84M1.0%+1.84
2025-26FLA716915+04-0.39:01+0.2-0.00:13+0.10:47-0.1-0.1+0.9+0.8-0.2-0.0+1.41523+0.81 GP-0.4Keller2%+0.0Holtz21%Pearson21%McNabb18%Greer18%$0.84M1.0%+1.61
SeasonTeamGPBox scoreNet goals per 84 games
GAP+/−PIMEV offEV defPPPKFinPlaySuppPenFOSOOverall
2024-25VGK1000+00-0.8+4.1+0.0+0.1-0.0-2.8+0.5-0.4-0.0-0.0+0.8
2024-25VGK1000+00-0.8+4.1+0.0+0.1+0.0-2.8+0.5-0.4+0.0-0.0+0.8
NHL Edge — tracking, 2021-22 on
SeasonShot mphSpeed mph22+ /GP20–22 /GP18–20 /GPMiles /60
2024-250.020.74.510.0
2025-260.000.85.010.0
Faceoff role
SeasonC GP%OZ FO%DZ FO%
2024-2583%7.5%6.5%
2025-2683%11.2%10.6%
Career83%8.9%8.2%

Game log

Every regular-season game: the box score, then the net goals that game added to his rating, by component, in goals. The season table above shows the same per 84 games. Click a column to sort.

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2026-27 projection

How it was builthis last five seasons, aged, weighted by recency, shrunk toward a prior

+0.6 NG/84 · 80 projected GP → +0.6 net goals over the season

The seasons behind it (NG/84)
SeasonGPNG/84Age adjAged
2024-2542+1.35+0.17+1.53
2025-2629+2.98-0.06+2.92
Component by component (NG/84)
His rateMemorynPriorTrustProjected
EV offense-0.461.2 yr65-0.3951%-0.43
EV defense+1.150.7 yr56+0.1525%+0.40
Power play+0.010.9 yr61-0.0733%-0.04
Penalty kill+0.331.6 yr68-0.0223%+0.06
Finishing-0.874.3 yr71-0.3120%-0.42
Playmaking-0.092.4 yr70-0.7171%-0.27
Suppression+0.910.9 yr61-0.00100%+0.91
Penalties+1.444.3 yr71-0.1349%+0.65
Faceoffs-0.310.9 yr61-0.1170%-0.25
Shootout+0.0613.5 yr71+0.030%+0.03
NG/84+2.16-1.56+0.63

1. Age. Every past season is first moved to his 2026-27 age along each component's career curve (Age adj: what a typical player gains or loses between that age and this one). Games from 2026-27 so far count like 2025-26 games, with no age adjustment. 2. Recency. Per component, the seasons are averaged with weights that fall off with age; Memory is the half-life in seasons, fitted walk-forward (penalty kill and EV defense change fast, finishing and playmaking slowly). 3. Shrinkage. Each component is pulled toward the average forward who reached the NHL at 22-23 (Prior). Trust = n / (n + K): n is the effective number of games behind the weighted rate, K how many games of evidence that component needs before it outweighs the prior (fitted walk-forward on 2013-2025-26 seasons). Projected = Trust × his rate + (1 − Trust) × Prior. The ten projected components add up to his NG/84, the number the standings simulation dresses him at. Proj GP = games played so far plus the games the standings simulation dresses him for (injuries from ESPN return dates; goalies split 65/35 starter/backup).

Over time

Career net goalsrunning total vs a league-average player
'22'25'26+1

Games and opponents

Single-game net goalsshare of his 78 games by that night’s total
10%20%30%40%-0.60 to -0.50 net goals: 1.3% of games (1)-0.50 to -0.40 net goals: 2.6% of games (2)-0.40 to -0.30 net goals: 1.3% of games (1)-0.30 to -0.20 net goals: 2.6% of games (2)-0.20 to -0.10 net goals: 5.1% of games (4)-0.10 to +0.00 net goals: 46.2% of games (36)+0.00 to +0.10 net goals: 15.4% of games (12)+0.10 to +0.20 net goals: 9.0% of games (7)+0.20 to +0.30 net goals: 9.0% of games (7)+0.30 to +0.40 net goals: 3.8% of games (3)+0.40 to +0.50 net goals: 1.3% of games (1)+0.50 to +0.60 net goals: 1.3% of games (1)+0.60 to +0.70 net goals: 1.3% of games (1)-2-10+1+2+3mean +0.0137%above 059%below 0
Best game +0.67 net goals · Jan 27, 2026 vs UTA (L 3–4) · Game recap →
Vs competition quartilescareer at 5v5, opposing fives ranked by average net goals/84
NET GOALS/84 VS AVERAGE, SAME QUARTILESHARE OF 5v5 TIME■ HOME ■ AWAYvs Q4 Toughestopposing five avg +2.0Career vs Q4: -0.5 net goals/84 above an average forward facing the same quartile; 110 min = 18% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off +0.2, EV def -0.0, finishing -0.6, playmaking/suppression share +0.2; on-ice xGF% 47.7 (league 45.5), goals 5-5-0.5Home games: 41 of 312 career 5v5 min vs Q4 (13.2%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 17.6%)13%Away games: 69 of 312 career 5v5 min vs Q4 (22.0%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 17.6%)22%vs Q3 Toughopposing five avg +0.5Career vs Q3: -0.7 net goals/84 above an average forward facing the same quartile; 152 min = 24% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.2, EV def +0.2, finishing -0.5, playmaking/suppression share +0.3; on-ice xGF% 51.0 (league 49.3), goals 4-5-0.7Home games: 77 of 312 career 5v5 min vs Q3 (24.7%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 24.4%)25%Away games: 75 of 312 career 5v5 min vs Q3 (24.1%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 24.4%)24%vs Q2 Easyopposing five avg -0.4Career vs Q2: -1.6 net goals/84 above an average forward facing the same quartile; 173 min = 28% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.3, EV def +0.3, finishing -0.7, playmaking/suppression share +0.4; on-ice xGF% 53.9 (league 50.8), goals 7-6-1.6Home games: 95 of 312 career 5v5 min vs Q2 (30.3%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 27.7%)30%Away games: 79 of 312 career 5v5 min vs Q2 (25.2%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 27.7%)25%vs Q1 Easiestopposing five avg -1.3Career vs Q1: +4.2 net goals/84 above an average forward facing the same quartile; 189 min = 30% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.3, EV def +0.5, finishing +0.7, playmaking/suppression share +0.5; on-ice xGF% 56.4 (league 55.0), goals 11-7+4.2Home games: 99 of 312 career 5v5 min vs Q1 (31.8%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 30.3%)32%Away games: 90 of 312 career 5v5 min vs Q1 (28.8%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 30.3%)29%25% = even−12.60+12.6

Plus/minus by situation

+/− by manpowerthe official +/- split by situation; goalie-in +/- leaves out the empty nets
Even strengthPower playPenalty killGoalie pulled
SeasonTeamGP+/−5v54v43v35v45v34v34v53v53v46v55v6OtherGoalie in
2021-22FLA3-4-400000000000-4
2023-24CGY4-1-100000000000-1
2024-25VGK42+3+2000000000+10+2
2025-26FLA29+2+200000000000+2
Total780-1000000000+10-1

How each state adds to the official +/-: at even strength every goal counts; on his power play only a shorthanded goal against counts (a minus), on his penalty kill only a shorthanded goal for (a plus). Other is whatever the official +/- has left, so each row adds up: mostly empty-net goals against while his team pulled its goalie on a power play (6-on-4). Goalie in = the official +/- without 6v5 and 5v6. 6v5 and 5v6 +/- do not carry over from season to season (r 0.02 and 0.15): they mostly show who is sent out when a goalie is pulled. Since 2010-11; hover a cell for minutes and the goals behind it.

Shots

Best finishes on videohis lowest-xG goals with a highlight clip (2018-19 on), starred on the rink above
xGHighlightDateOppGoalieSitShot
★10.051Schwindt gets Panthers on the board ▸Apr 5, 2026at PITArturs SilovsEVWrist
★20.076WSH@FLA: Schwindt scores goal against Logan Thompson ▸Nov 13, 2025vs WSHLogan ThompsonEVDeflected
★30.079UTA@FLA: Schwindt scores goal against Vitek Vanecek ▸Jan 27, 2026vs UTAVitek VanecekEVWrist
★40.112Schwindt deflects it in ▸Apr 15, 2026vs DETCam TalbotEVDeflected
★50.134Schwindt scores through a maze in front ▸Oct 25, 2025vs VGKAkira SchmidEVWrist

Goalie matchups

Career G − xG by goaliegoalies he has scored on most and least relative to xG
Most success against
GoalieGmSOGGxGG−xG
Vitek Vanecek1210.1+0.9
Cam Talbot1110.2+0.8
Akira Schmid1110.2+0.8
Least success against
GoalieGmSOGGxGG−xG
Alex Lyon1300.6-0.6
Casey DeSmith1300.6-0.6
Alexandar Georgiev3400.4-0.4

Faceoffs

Faceoffs by dotcareer since 2021-22, shoots R
OWN ZONENEUTRAL ZONEATTACKING ZONE →Own-zone left: 16-21 (43.2%, league 53.6%); 8.0% of his draws, league 14.3%43.2%-10.48% · lg 14%Own-zone right: 33-41 (44.6%, league 47.0%); 16.0% of his draws, league 20.4%44.6%-2.416% · lg 20%Neutral, own side, left: 12-13 (48.0%, league 53.2%); 5.4% of his draws, league 3.0%48.0%-5.25% · lg 3%Neutral, own side, right: 9-11 (45.0%, league 46.5%); 4.3% of his draws, league 2.8%45.0%-1.54% · lg 3%Centre ice: 64-61 (51.2%, league 50.0%); 27.0% of his draws, league 18.9%51.2%+1.227% · lg 19%Neutral, attacking side, left: 9-10 (47.4%, league 53.8%); 4.1% of his draws, league 2.8%—4% · lg 3%Neutral, attacking side, right: 8-12 (40.0%, league 46.8%); 4.3% of his draws, league 3.0%40.0%-6.84% · lg 3%Attacking-zone left: 21-24 (46.7%, league 53.0%); 9.7% of his draws, league 20.4%46.7%-6.310% · lg 20%Attacking-zone right: 50-48 (51.0%, league 46.6%); 21.2% of his draws, league 14.3%51.0%+4.421% · lg 14%

47.9% won -1.5

463 draws; the league wins 49.4% at the dots he takes

Draw mixHis drawsLeague
Own zone24%35%
Neutral45%31%
Attacking31%35%

Drawn from his side: he attacks left to right, his left at the top. Circle: his win% at that dot, colored by how far it sits above (blue) or below (red) the league there, the small number (±10 scale). Bar: his share of all his draws taken there, the tick the league share (0–30% of his draws; 0–60% on the power play, penalty kill and 3v3). Even strength includes 4v4 and 3v3.

Head-to-head on the drawcareer since 2021-22, regular season + playoffs; win% lists 25+ draws
Most faced
OpponentDrawsW–LWin%
John Tavares126-650.0%
Adam Gaudette124-833.3%
Jake Evans116-554.5%
Nick Suzuki114-736.4%
Jack Finley115-645.5%