DAL beat SJS 5–0. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 3.9 to 1.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Miro Heiskanen scored at 18:51 of the first, moving DAL’s win probability from 53% to 71%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SJS–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 18:51 | DAL | Miro Heiskanen from Roope Hintz, Jamie Benn | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 3:17 | DAL | Joel Kiviranta from Oskar Bäck, Radek Faksa | 0–2 | 72% → 86% |
| P2 6:19 | DAL | Jamie Benn from Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz | 0–3 | 87% → 95% |
| P2 16:30 | DAL | Jason Robertson unassisted | 0–4 | 98% → 100% |
| P3 15:22 | DAL | Mikko Rantanen from Sam Steel | 0–5 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivar Stenberg L | 13:45 | +0.01 | −0.04 | −0.07 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.17 | −0.01 | ||
| Collin Graf R | 12:42 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Barclay Goodrow C | 13:14 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luca Cagnoni D | 19:01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 14:20 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Zack Ostapchuk C | 11:35 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Igor Chernyshov L | 15:03 | −0.12 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Misa C | 15:22 | −0.14 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 18:50 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 15:02 | −0.15 | +0.03 | −0.07 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Kesselring D | 20:50 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 17:39 | −0.20 | −0.19 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.02 | ||
| Darnell Nurse D | 22:16 | −0.27 | −0.19 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Orlov D | 19:19 | −0.28 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Marchment L | 16:12 | −0.29 | −0.21 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Smith C | 18:28 | −0.32 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Dickinson D | 16:28 | −0.34 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Toffoli C | 14:05 | −0.51 | −0.00 | −0.27 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov G | 59:49 | −0.63 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miro Heiskanen D | 20:37 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.21 | +0.35 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Jason Robertson L | 17:46 | 1 | 1 | +0.64 | +0.10 | +0.16 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 |
| Mikko Rantanen R | 17:34 | 1 | +0.58 | +0.17 | +0.30 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Kiviranta L | 10:37 | 1 | +0.40 | +0.05 | +0.37 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 14:20 | 1 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.03 | +0.26 | +0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Roope Hintz C | 15:31 | 2 | +0.33 | +0.08 | −0.10 | +0.30 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Sam Steel C | 14:44 | 1 | +0.30 | +0.15 | −0.05 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Thomas Harley D | 21:31 | +0.25 | +0.14 | −0.01 | +0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nils Lundkvist D | 17:22 | +0.20 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 18:54 | +0.12 | +0.14 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Bäck C | 11:48 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.17 | −0.01 | |
| Radek Faksa C | 12:30 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.05 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 17:19 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Arttu Hyry R | 16:56 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Justin Hryckowian C | 16:14 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 16:28 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Wyatt Johnston C | 16:45 | −0.17 | +0.18 | −0.25 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Lian Bichsel D | 19:23 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 60:00 | +0.65 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.