Tonight: 8 gamesModel estimates, not official NHL statistics
puckmodel
ANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINMTLNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSHUFA
San Jose Sharks › Collin Graf
Collin Graf
RW ยท #51 ยท SJS ยท 24 ยท Two-way PK forward ยท Steady (75th pct)
Average career stats over an 84-game season
18
G
23
A
41
P
-1
+/−
14
PIM
16:17
TOI/GP
0:47
PP TOI/GP
2:11
SH TOI/GP
SeasonTeamTypeGPBox scoreSO
G/Att
Net goals per 84 gamesEloOn-ice contextContract
GAP+/−PIMEV offEV defPPPKFinPlaySuppPenFOSOOverallCompMatesTop linematesCap hit% of capNG/84
per $M
2024-25SJS335611-48-2.012:40-2.7-0.41:14+0.11:57+0.8-0.5+0.8-0.9-0.1-0.0-4.8-28+0.5-3.7Ferraro 42%Liljegren 36%Wennberg 32%Mukhamadullin 24%$0.94M1.1%-5.06
2025-26SJS81212546+6120/2-1.013:29-0.8-0.60:29-0.42:28+2.3-0.5+1.4+1.0-0.1-0.9+0.5+35+0.9-1.0Ferraro 40%Orlov 34%Celebrini 33%Wennberg 24%$0.94M1.0%+0.50
2024-25SJS335611-48-0.512:40-0.5-0.11:14+0.01:57+0.1-0.5+0.6-0.2-0.0-0.0-1.3-28+0.5-3.7Ferraro 42%Liljegren 36%Wennberg 32%Mukhamadullin 24%$0.94M1.1%-1.33
2025-26SJS81212546+6120/2-0.813:29-0.4-0.30:29-0.12:28+0.4-0.5+1.2+0.4-0.1-0.0-0.2+35+0.9-1.0Ferraro 40%Orlov 34%Celebrini 33%Wennberg 24%$0.94M1.0%-0.17
2024-25SJS335813-88-0.512:40-0.2-0.01:14+0.01:57+0.1-0.5-0.0-0.2-0.0-0.0-1.51467+0.6-4.0Ferraro 34%Liljegren 29%Wennberg 26%Mukhamadullin 20%$0.94M1.1%-1.63
2025-26SJS114263359-2200/2-0.713:29-0.4-0.20:29-0.12:28+0.4-0.5+0.9+0.3-0.1-0.0-0.31508+0.8-2.0Ferraro 38%Wennberg 25%Orlov 23%Celebrini 22%$0.94M1.1%-0.28
NHL Edge — tracking, 2021-22 on
SeasonShot mphSpeed mph22+ /GP20–22 /GP18–20 /GPMiles /60
2024-250.121.87.99.6
2025-2678.822.90.071.46.39.3

Over time

84-game formtrailing net goals/84
'24'25'26BW+2.2-0.6-0.5
Career net goalsrunning total vs a league-average player
'24'25'26+1-3
84-game stretcheshis best and worst windows of the form line
GAPPPP+/−TOI/GPPen takenPen drawnFO%Team W-L-OTL
Best+2.2Mar 4 ’25 – Mar 26 ’262324474+416:3671427.336-40-8
Worst-0.6Apr 1 ’25 – Apr 15 ’262025451+816:29715—38-37-9

Games and opponents

Single-game net goalsshare of his 121 games by that night’s total
5%10%15%20%25%-1.00 to -0.90 net goals: 0.8% of games (1)-0.80 to -0.70 net goals: 0.8% of games (1)-0.70 to -0.60 net goals: 2.5% of games (3)-0.60 to -0.50 net goals: 3.3% of games (4)-0.50 to -0.40 net goals: 1.7% of games (2)-0.40 to -0.30 net goals: 9.1% of games (11)-0.30 to -0.20 net goals: 8.3% of games (10)-0.20 to -0.10 net goals: 17.4% of games (21)-0.10 to +0.00 net goals: 24.0% of games (29)+0.00 to +0.10 net goals: 9.9% of games (12)+0.10 to +0.20 net goals: 1.7% of games (2)+0.20 to +0.30 net goals: 4.1% of games (5)+0.30 to +0.40 net goals: 0.8% of games (1)+0.40 to +0.50 net goals: 3.3% of games (4)+0.50 to +0.60 net goals: 0.8% of games (1)+0.60 to +0.70 net goals: 3.3% of games (4)+0.70 to +0.80 net goals: 2.5% of games (3)+0.80 to +0.90 net goals: 1.7% of games (2)+0.90 to +1.00 net goals: 0.8% of games (1)+1.10 to +1.20 net goals: 1.7% of games (2)+1.60 to +1.70 net goals: 0.8% of games (1)+2.10 to +2.20 net goals: 0.8% of games (1)-2-10+1+2+3mean -0.0031%above 068%below 0
Best game +2.14 net goals · Nov 11, 2025 at MIN (W 2–1 OT) · Game recap →
Vs competition quartilescareer at 5v5, opposing fives ranked by average net goals/84
NET GOALS/84 VS AVERAGE, SAME QUARTILESHARE OF 5v5 TIME■ HOME ■ AWAYvs Q4 Toughestopposing five avg +1.9Career vs Q4: +3.4 net goals/84 above an average forward facing the same quartile; 370 min = 26% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.5, EV def -0.3, finishing +1.2, playmaking/suppression share +0.2; on-ice xGF% 41.3 (league 45.4), goals 13-14+3.4Home games: 201 of 729 career 5v5 min vs Q4 (27.6%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 26.0%)28%Away games: 169 of 693 career 5v5 min vs Q4 (24.4%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 26.0%)24%vs Q3 Toughopposing five avg +0.5Career vs Q3: -0.9 net goals/84 above an average forward facing the same quartile; 373 min = 26% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.2, EV def -0.5, finishing +0.1, playmaking/suppression share +0.2; on-ice xGF% 46.5 (league 49.2), goals 13-17-0.9Home games: 178 of 729 career 5v5 min vs Q3 (24.4%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 26.2%)24%Away games: 195 of 693 career 5v5 min vs Q3 (28.1%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 26.2%)28%vs Q2 Easyopposing five avg -0.3Career vs Q2: +0.2 net goals/84 above an average forward facing the same quartile; 316 min = 22% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.6, EV def +0.1, finishing +0.5, playmaking/suppression share +0.1; on-ice xGF% 48.5 (league 50.8), goals 16-12+0.2Home games: 163 of 729 career 5v5 min vs Q2 (22.3%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 22.2%)22%Away games: 153 of 693 career 5v5 min vs Q2 (22.1%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 22.2%)22%vs Q1 Easiestopposing five avg -1.3Career vs Q1: -2.1 net goals/84 above an average forward facing the same quartile; 363 min = 26% of his 5v5. Goals in those minutes: EV off -0.5, EV def -0.0, finishing +0.3, playmaking/suppression share +0.2; on-ice xGF% 46.4 (league 55.4), goals 14-15-2.1Home games: 187 of 729 career 5v5 min vs Q1 (25.7%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 25.5%)26%Away games: 176 of 693 career 5v5 min vs Q1 (25.4%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 25.5%)25%25% = even−12.60+12.6

Shots

Shot mixhis shots on goal by type and location, 2010-11 on
ShareTotal shotsAvg dist (ft)xGGG/xGNet goals/84
Wrist56%923011.4141.23–
Snap11%18283.130.95–
Slap2%4200.30––
Backhand11%18162.720.74–
Tip-in18%29193.841.05–
Deflection1%2330.30––
Other1%150.11––
Total1642621.7241.10+1.7

The rink is drawn from his side: he attacks left to right, his left on top. Right half: where his own shots come from. Left half: where opponents shoot from while he is on the ice (shared with his linemates and the team system). Blue = a bigger share of those shots from that zone than the league average for forwards in the same situation (and shot type, when one is picked); red = a smaller share.

HIS OWN ZONE · SHOTS AGAINSTATTACKING ZONE · HIS SHOTS
shots on goal against with him on vs forwards · n=973 · ±0.08pphis shots on goal vs forwards · n=163 · ±0.30pp
Best finishes on videohis lowest-xG goals with a highlight clip (2018-19 on)
xGDateOppSitShot
10.054Feb 4, 2025vs MTLEVWristWatch ▸
20.063Dec 18, 2025vs DALEVWristWatch ▸
30.064Mar 27, 2025vs TORSH/otherWristWatch ▸