Tonight: 9 gamesModel estimates, not official NHL statistics
puckmodel
ANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINMTLNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSHUFA
Colorado Avalanche › Nikita Prishchepov
Nikita Prishchepov
C · #85 · COL · 22
Average career stats over an 84-game season
0
G
0
A
0
P
+0
+/−
0
PIM
6:22
TOI/GP
0:00
PP TOI/GP
0:00
SH TOI/GP
SeasonTeamTypeGPBox scoreNet goals per 84 gamesEloOn-ice contextContract
GAP+/−PIMEV offEV defPPPKFinPlaySuppPenFOSOOverallCompTop oppMatesTop linematesCap hit% of capNG/84
per $M
2024-25COL10000+00-1.16:22+1.3+0.0+0.1-1.0-1.9+0.2+1.3-0.0-0.0-1.1-0+0.2Del Gaizo 16%+1.3Wagner 62%Malinski 39%de Haan 38%Tynan 35%$0.81M0.9%-1.37
2024-25COL10000+00-0.16:22+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0+0.2Del Gaizo 16%+1.3Wagner 62%Malinski 39%de Haan 38%Tynan 35%$0.81M0.9%-0.03
2024-25COL10000+00-0.16:22+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.5+0.2+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.21500+0.2Del Gaizo 16%+1.3Wagner 62%Malinski 39%de Haan 38%Tynan 35%$0.81M0.9%-0.27
NHL Edge — tracking, 2021-22 on
SeasonShot mphSpeed mph22+ /GP20–22 /GP18–20 /GPMiles /60
2024-250.000.94.610.3
Faceoff role
SeasonC GP%OZ FO%DZ FO%
2024-250%0.0%0.0%

2026-27 projection

How it was builthis last five seasons, aged, weighted by recency, shrunk toward a prior

-0.2 NG/84 · 82 projected GP → -0.2 net goals over the season

The seasons behind it (NG/84)
SeasonGPNG/84Age adjAged
2024-2510-1.06+0.84-0.22
Component by component (NG/84)
His rateMemorynPriorTrustProjected
EV offense-0.691.2 yr10-0.1214%-0.20
EV defense+1.010.7 yr10-0.036%+0.03
Power play+0.170.9 yr10-0.086%-0.07
Penalty kill+0.131.2 yr10-0.025%-0.01
Finishing-1.044.3 yr10+0.103%+0.06
Playmaking-1.472.4 yr10-0.1926%-0.52
Suppression+0.230.9 yr10-0.0099%+0.22
Penalties+1.184.3 yr10+0.1712%+0.29
Faceoffs+0.180.9 yr10-0.1027%-0.02
Shootout+0.0713.5 yr10-0.030%-0.03
NG/84-0.22-0.30-0.25

1. Age. Every past season is first moved to his 2026-27 age along each component's career curve (Age adj: what a typical player gains or loses between that age and this one). Games from 2026-27 so far count like 2025-26 games, with no age adjustment. 2. Recency. Per component, the seasons are averaged with weights that fall off with age; Memory is the half-life in seasons, fitted walk-forward (penalty kill and EV defense change fast, finishing and playmaking slowly). 3. Shrinkage. Each component is pulled toward the average forward who reached the NHL at 20 (Prior). Trust = n / (n + K): n is the effective number of games behind the weighted rate, K how many games of evidence that component needs before it outweighs the prior (fitted walk-forward on 2013-2025-26 seasons). Projected = Trust × his rate + (1 − Trust) × Prior. The ten projected components add up to his NG/84, the number the standings simulation dresses him at. Proj GP = games played so far plus the games the standings simulation dresses him for (injuries from ESPN return dates; goalies split 65/35 starter/backup).

Games and opponents

Vs competition quartilescareer at 5v5, opposing fives ranked by average net goals/84
NET GOALS/84 VS AVERAGE, SAME QUARTILESHARE OF 5v5 TIME■ HOME ■ AWAYvs Q4 Toughestopposing five avg +2.0under 60 minHome games: 6 of 30 career 5v5 min vs Q4 (20.9%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 19.0%)21%Away games: 6 of 34 career 5v5 min vs Q4 (17.2%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 19.0%)17%vs Q3 Toughopposing five avg +0.5under 60 minHome games: 10 of 30 career 5v5 min vs Q3 (33.0%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 23.6%)33%Away games: 5 of 34 career 5v5 min vs Q3 (15.3%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 23.6%)15%vs Q2 Easyopposing five avg -0.4under 60 minHome games: 6 of 30 career 5v5 min vs Q2 (19.6%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 19.9%)20%Away games: 7 of 34 career 5v5 min vs Q2 (20.1%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 19.9%)20%vs Q1 Easiestopposing five avg -1.3under 60 minHome games: 8 of 30 career 5v5 min vs Q1 (26.4%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 37.5%)26%Away games: 16 of 34 career 5v5 min vs Q1 (47.4%; 25% = the league-wide split; all games 37.5%)47%25% = even−12.60+12.6

Plus/minus by situation

+/− by manpowerthe official +/- split by situation; goalie-in +/- leaves out the empty nets
Even strengthPower playPenalty killGoalie pulled
SeasonTeamGP+/−5v54v43v35v45v34v34v53v53v46v55v6OtherGoalie in
2024-25COL1000000000000000
Total1000000000000000

How each state adds to the official +/-: at even strength every goal counts; on his power play only a shorthanded goal against counts (a minus), on his penalty kill only a shorthanded goal for (a plus). Other is whatever the official +/- has left, so each row adds up: mostly empty-net goals against while his team pulled its goalie on a power play (6-on-4). Goalie in = the official +/- without 6v5 and 5v6. 6v5 and 5v6 +/- do not carry over from season to season (r 0.02 and 0.15): they mostly show who is sent out when a goalie is pulled. Since 2010-11; hover a cell for minutes and the goals behind it.

Goalie matchups

Career G − xG by goaliegoalies he has scored on most and least relative to xG
Most success against
GoalieGmSOGGxGG−xG
Darcy Kuemper1100.0-0.0
Connor Hellebuyck1100.0-0.0
Juuse Saros1200.2-0.2
Least success against
GoalieGmSOGGxGG−xG
Juuse Saros1200.2-0.2
Connor Hellebuyck1100.0-0.0
Darcy Kuemper1100.0-0.0