VAN beat LAK 4–3 in overtime. VAN lost the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 3.3 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk scored at 2:58 of overtime, moving VAN’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Darcy Kuemper allowed 2.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:21 | VAN | Elias Pettersson from Kirill Kudryavtsev, Marco Rossi | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 17:15 |  LAK | Quinton Byfield from Alex Laferriere, Trevor Moore | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| P2 0:52 | VAN | Jake DeBruskPP from Brock Boeser, Filip Hronek | 1–2 | 54% → 72% |
| P2 1:04 | LAK | Adrian Kempe from Anze Kopitar, Artemi Panarin | 2–2 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 2:17 | LAK | Alex Laferriere from Drew Doughty, Quinton Byfield | 3–2 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 9:20 | VAN | Zeev Buium from Nils Hoglander, Elias Pettersson | 3–3 | 32% → 53% |
| OT 2:58 | VAN | Jake DeBrusk from Elias Pettersson, Tom Willander | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Laferriere R | 20:34 | 1 | 1 | +0.52 | −0.11 | +0.26 | +0.17 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 |
| Mikey Anderson D | 19:50 | +0.20 | +0.22 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 13:27 | +0.15 | +0.22 | −0.15 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 22:20 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.04 | −0.13 | +0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Quinton Byfield R | 19:19 | 1 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.13 | +0.17 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.09 |
| Mathieu Joseph R | 6:22 | +0.05 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 23:01 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.11 | −0.10 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Moore L | 18:37 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 22:40 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.10 | −0.06 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 | |
| Cody Ceci D | 18:25 | +0.02 | +0.17 | −0.01 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 17:15 | −0.03 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 18:48 | −0.04 | +0.07 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Helenius C | 5:24 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Taylor Ward R | 5:52 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 22:39 | −0.17 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Wright R | 13:17 | −0.21 | +0.24 | −0.14 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 20:22 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.03 | +0.07 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 15:39 | −0.36 | −0.17 | −0.14 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 62:34 | −2.42 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake DeBrusk L | 17:46 | 2 | +0.72 | +0.24 | +0.51 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Elias Pettersson C | 18:02 | 2 | +0.63 | +0.25 | −0.05 | +0.34 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.09 | |
| Aatu Räty C | 12:02 | +0.22 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.13 | ||
| Zeev Buium D | 25:00 | 1 | +0.21 | −0.26 | +0.33 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Elias Pettersson D | 13:15 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.22 | +0.45 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brock Boeser R | 22:00 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.09 | −0.14 | +0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Kirill Kudryavtsev D | 15:04 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.13 | −0.03 | +0.22 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nils Hoglander L | 14:03 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.02 | −0.12 | +0.16 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Marcus Pettersson D | 21:53 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 23:46 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.33 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.39 | +0.00 | |
| Curtis Douglas C | 7:12 | −0.07 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Teddy Blueger C | 18:34 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Willander D | 21:20 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marco Rossi C | 16:08 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Ty Mueller C | 9:25 | −0.30 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Liam Ohgren L | 17:18 | −0.32 | −0.29 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Linus Karlsson C | 13:23 | −0.35 | −0.23 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Drew O'Connor L | 16:43 | −0.35 | −0.24 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 62:58 | +2.08 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.