PHI beat NYI 4–1. Expected goals were close to even (PHI 2.3, NYI 2.5), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Owen Tippett scored at 13:54 of the first, moving PHI’s win probability from 47% to 64%. Dan Vladar saved 1.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 13:54 |  PHI | Owen Tippett from Travis Sanheim | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 15:01 | PHI | Alex Bump from Matvei Michkov, Noah Cates | 2–0 | 64% → 78% |
| P2 2:52 | PHI | Matvei Michkov unassisted | 3–0 | 81% → 93% |
| P2 15:37 |  NYI | Jean-Gabriel Pageau from Mathew Barzal, Simon Holmstrom | 3–1 | 3% → 13% |
| P3 9:16 | PHI | Travis Sanheim from Matvei Michkov, Alex Bump | 4–1 | 95% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Sanheim D | 24:36 | 1 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.12 | +0.40 | +0.23 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alex Bump L | 9:09 | 1 | 1 | +0.68 | +0.05 | +0.46 | +0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Matvei Michkov R | 11:43 | 1 | 2 | +0.57 | +0.06 | +0.30 | +0.41 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Owen Tippett R | 17:33 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.12 | +0.25 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Noah Cates L | 16:06 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.23 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 22:02 | +0.24 | +0.14 | −0.00 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 15:06 | +0.17 | +0.14 | −0.14 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 11:03 | +0.10 | +0.15 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Cam York D | 23:11 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 21:08 | +0.01 | −0.08 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 18:55 | −0.02 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Juulsen D | 10:07 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 17:26 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 13:03 | −0.07 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Porter Martone R | 15:13 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.15 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 17:18 | −0.26 | +0.05 | −0.22 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 15:18 | −0.30 | +0.05 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 15:03 | −0.35 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 60:00 | +1.06 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathew Barzal C | 24:06 | 1 | +0.29 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.13 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 20:01 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.06 | +0.37 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Ondrej Palat L | 9:49 | +0.15 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 13:30 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 12:04 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Schaefer D | 28:43 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Boqvist D | 17:40 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Calum Ritchie C | 15:08 | −0.09 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 14:51 | −0.10 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle MacLean C | 11:15 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carson Soucy D | 12:41 | −0.14 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 22:09 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Ryan Pulock D | 19:28 | −0.19 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Simon Holmstrom R | 20:09 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.06 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Emil Heineman L | 15:53 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 17:28 | −0.25 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc Gatcomb C | 10:38 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 17:37 | −0.38 | +0.02 | −0.29 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin G | 52:50 | −0.97 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.