CHI beat UTA 3–2 in overtime. CHI also won the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Frank Nazar scored on the power play at 2:36 of overtime, moving CHI’s win probability from 54% to 100%. Drew Commesso saved 1.7 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | UTA–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:43 | UTA | Barrett Hayton from Nick DeSimone, Ian Cole | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 13:46 | CHI | Andrew Mangiapane from Ryan Donato, Ilya Mikheyev | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P1 16:26 | UTA | Dylan Guenther from Clayton Keller, Nick Schmaltz | 2–1 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 15:35 | CHI | Andre Burakovsky from Connor Bedard, Ryan Greene | 2–2 | 30% → 53% |
| OT 2:36 | CHI | Frank NazarPP from Teuvo Teravainen, Connor Bedard | 2–3 | 54% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
UTA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick DeSimone D | 14:17 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| JJ Peterka R | 13:13 | +0.15 | +0.07 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Guenther R | 20:30 | 1 | +0.10 | −0.06 | +0.29 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nate Schmidt D | 22:02 | +0.09 | +0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Barrett Hayton C | 14:40 | 1 | +0.07 | −0.05 | +0.36 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Lawson Crouse L | 15:18 | +0.06 | +0.18 | −0.04 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| John Marino D | 22:11 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Stenlund C | 13:51 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack McBain C | 12:52 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 12:38 | −0.04 | +0.06 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Kerfoot C | 10:31 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Carcone L | 10:45 | −0.04 | +0.03 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ian Cole D | 20:50 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| MacKenzie Weegar D | 20:13 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Clayton Keller R | 20:29 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.09 | −0.22 | +0.11 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Durzi D | 21:26 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Cooley C | 15:14 | −0.27 | +0.08 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Schmaltz C | 20:48 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.16 | −0.21 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Vitek Vanecek G | 62:36 | −1.36 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Burakovsky L | 18:45 | 1 | +0.54 | +0.02 | +0.41 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Frank Nazar C | 20:40 | 1 | +0.48 | −0.08 | +0.59 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Andrew Mangiapane L | 14:24 | 1 | +0.30 | −0.05 | +0.38 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 17:40 | 1 | +0.17 | −0.03 | −0.09 | +0.29 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 18:36 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.16 | −0.21 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Bedard C | 21:06 | 2 | +0.11 | +0.14 | −0.36 | +0.34 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Louis Crevier D | 17:17 | +0.07 | +0.21 | −0.02 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 20:22 | +0.04 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 20:43 | +0.03 | +0.08 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 16:30 | +0.01 | +0.13 | −0.03 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 16:10 | 1 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.10 | +0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Sam Lafferty C | 8:05 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nick Lardis L | 7:18 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 16:51 | −0.07 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Landon Slaggert L | 7:07 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 19:10 | −0.20 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Rinzel D | 23:22 | −0.24 | −0.23 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 21:15 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.11 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Commesso G | 61:43 | +1.70 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.