PHI beat WSH 4–2. Expected goals were close to even (WSH 2.9, PHI 2.7), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Jamie Drysdale scored on the power play at 14:37 of the third, moving PHI’s win probability from 52% to 88%. Dan Vladar saved 2.0 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:56 |  PHI | Owen Tippett from Travis Sanheim, Matvei Michkov | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P2 4:45 | PHI | Carl Grundstrom from Nicolas Deslauriers, Rasmus Ristolainen | 0–2 | 73% → 87% |
| P2 8:12 | WSH | Aliaksei ProtasSH from Anthony Beauvillier | 1–2 | 12% → 26% |
| P3 2:40 | WSH | Anthony Beauvillier from Justin Sourdif, Trevor van Riemsdyk | 2–2 | 22% → 48% |
| P3 14:37 | PHI | Jamie DrysdalePP from Trevor Zegras, Travis Konecny | 2–3 | 52% → 88% |
| P3 19:43 | PHI | Rasmus RistolainenEN from Travis Konecny | 2–4 | 97% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas L | 20:27 | 1 | +0.53 | −0.03 | +0.65 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 17:51 | 1 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.03 | +0.26 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 15:08 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.16 | −0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Leonard R | 16:27 | +0.09 | +0.08 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 17:26 | +0.05 | +0.10 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sonny Milano L | 6:09 | +0.02 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Fehérváry D | 18:54 | −0.05 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Sourdif C | 15:48 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.10 | −0.10 | +0.15 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Hendrix Lapierre C | 6:44 | −0.06 | +0.12 | −0.12 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Ethen Frank R | 14:25 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Duhaime R | 9:01 | −0.11 | +0.04 | −0.11 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Sandin D | 18:29 | −0.18 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Chychrun D | 23:59 | −0.21 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 19:23 | −0.23 | +0.06 | −0.30 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 20:19 | −0.24 | −0.01 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Carlson D | 25:09 | −0.33 | −0.19 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 15:57 | −0.34 | −0.27 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Alex Ovechkin L | 15:35 | −0.44 | +0.11 | −0.24 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Clay Stevenson G | 58:25 | −1.64 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Drysdale D | 22:43 | 1 | +0.62 | +0.27 | +0.40 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Owen Tippett R | 15:40 | 1 | +0.32 | −0.09 | +0.28 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 19:39 | 2 | +0.30 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Zegras C | 18:39 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.23 | −0.18 | +0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 9:20 | 1 | +0.25 | −0.10 | +0.38 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nikita Grebenkin R | 13:18 | +0.11 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Bobby Brink R | 18:41 | +0.11 | +0.25 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 20:38 | +0.08 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 15:54 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Juulsen D | 11:38 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 23:18 | 1 | −0.00 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Seeler D | 15:55 | −0.04 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denver Barkey C | 11:06 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 21:57 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 16:37 | −0.13 | +0.04 | −0.15 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 6:30 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 15:46 | −0.26 | −0.12 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 20:41 | 1 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.40 | −0.02 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 60:00 | +1.96 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.