WPG beat CHI 2–1 in overtime. WPG also won the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mark Scheifele scored at 0:38 of overtime, moving WPG’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Connor Hellebuyck saved 1.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–WPG | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 16:52 | CHI | Ryan Donato from Patrick Maroon | 1–0 | 47% → 71% |
| P3 18:56 | WPG | Mark ScheifelePP from Nikolaj Ehlers | 1–1 | 6% → 50% |
| OT 0:38 | WPG | Mark Scheifele from Kyle Connor, Josh Morrissey | 1–2 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Donato C | 10:51 | 1 | +0.51 | +0.13 | +0.45 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Maroon L | 11:43 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.26 | −0.16 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| TJ Brodie D | 18:18 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Hall L | 15:02 | −0.02 | +0.06 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 22:03 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 15:01 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 22:16 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.10 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 16:13 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 16:17 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 9:21 | −0.10 | +0.05 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 15:53 | −0.18 | +0.14 | −0.21 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 17:57 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 16:09 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.24 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Connor Bedard C | 18:44 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 14:42 | −0.33 | −0.30 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.09 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 24:10 | −0.40 | −0.19 | −0.05 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 17:30 | −0.43 | −0.42 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joey Anderson R | 15:44 | −0.46 | −0.43 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 60:38 | −0.02 |
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Scheifele C | 21:33 | 2 | +1.27 | +0.22 | +1.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.09 | |
| Kyle Connor L | 20:18 | 1 | +0.44 | +0.27 | −0.09 | +0.28 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Josh Morrissey D | 26:17 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.34 | −0.04 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Kupari C | 8:23 | +0.11 | +0.15 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Morgan Barron C | 10:18 | +0.10 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 14:30 | +0.04 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.05 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 10:46 | +0.03 | +0.13 | −0.03 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Miller D | 14:14 | +0.01 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 20:29 | −0.02 | +0.20 | −0.12 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 20:31 | −0.12 | +0.11 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Samberg D | 21:29 | −0.14 | −0.27 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Haydn Fleury D | 13:17 | −0.14 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Neal Pionk D | 21:07 | −0.15 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Perfetti C | 14:24 | −0.18 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 16:22 | −0.22 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.14 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 16:38 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.05 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nino Niederreiter R | 15:50 | −0.31 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 14:02 | −0.44 | −0.14 | −0.24 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 60:04 | +1.17 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.