WPG beat VAN 2–0. WPG lost the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 4.2 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Mark Scheifele scored at 7:25 of the first, moving WPG’s win probability from 47% to 63%. Laurent Brossoit saved 4.8 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WPG–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:25 | WPG | Mark Scheifele unassisted | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P3 18:43 | WPG | Mason AppletonEN from Neal Pionk | 2–0 | 93% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neal Pionk D | 23:56 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Lewis C | 8:12 | +0.09 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 17:33 | +0.01 | +0.14 | −0.23 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Scheifele C | 20:34 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.33 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Dylan DeMelo D | 14:51 | −0.05 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Thompson C | 6:56 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Derek Forbort D | 22:31 | −0.07 | +0.14 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Stastny C | 16:09 | −0.09 | +0.32 | −0.08 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Jansen Harkins C | 7:49 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 12:48 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.05 | −0.11 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Copp C | 20:10 | −0.25 | +0.03 | −0.15 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Perreault C | 12:51 | −0.28 | −0.02 | −0.20 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tucker Poolman D | 17:25 | −0.31 | −0.26 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 18:30 | −0.33 | −0.26 | −0.03 | −0.11 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Nathan Beaulieu D | 15:04 | −0.34 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Morrissey D | 22:12 | −0.39 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 18:40 | −0.51 | −0.28 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Wheeler R | 19:09 | −0.67 | −0.12 | −0.39 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit G | 59:58 | +4.85 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Sutter C | 15:25 | +0.20 | +0.20 | −0.00 | −0.15 | +0.02 | +0.18 | −0.04 | ||
| Nate Schmidt D | 20:31 | +0.08 | +0.33 | −0.12 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nils Hoglander L | 17:18 | +0.05 | +0.08 | −0.10 | −0.13 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Antoine Roussel L | 11:15 | +0.04 | +0.09 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordie Benn D | 14:13 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jay Beagle C | 7:32 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Alexander Edler D | 20:58 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 22:41 | −0.08 | +0.29 | −0.18 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olli Juolevi D | 10:36 | −0.13 | +0.18 | −0.25 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 23:45 | −0.16 | +0.12 | −0.06 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Virtanen R | 8:00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Loui Eriksson L | 5:33 | −0.24 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Pearson L | 18:12 | −0.25 | +0.05 | −0.16 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 25:37 | −0.26 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Gaudette R | 12:28 | −0.26 | +0.18 | −0.36 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 19:52 | −0.28 | −0.11 | −0.30 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.03 | ||
| Elias Pettersson C | 20:14 | −0.34 | +0.15 | −0.37 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 23:12 | −0.45 | +0.07 | −0.17 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko G | 57:56 | +2.07 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.