PIT beat NYR 5–4 in overtime. PIT also won the expected-goals battle 4.2 to 3.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Sidney Crosby scored at 2:27 of overtime, moving PIT’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PIT–NYR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:39 | PIT | Jason Zucker from Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Kasperi Kapanen | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 13:52 | NYR | Brendan Lemieux from Phillip Di Giuseppe, Ryan Lindgren | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P1 19:20 | PIT | Brandon Tanev from Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Teddy Blueger | 2–1 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 7:20 | NYR | Kevin RooneySH from K'Andre Miller, Ryan Strome | 2–2 | 32% → 52% |
| P2 9:42 | PIT | Kasperi Kapanen from Evgeni Malkin | 3–2 | 47% → 68% |
| P2 10:25 | NYR | Chris Kreider from Jacob Trouba, K'Andre Miller | 3–3 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 16:01 | NYR | Artemi PanarinPP from Pavel Buchnevich, Tony DeAngelo | 3–4 | 53% → 76% |
| P3 9:18 | PIT | Jake Guentzel from Cody Ceci, John Marino | 4–4 | 18% → 48% |
| OT 2:27 | PIT | Sidney Crosby from Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Bryan Rust | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | 25:58 | 3 | +0.77 | +0.33 | −0.05 | +0.70 | −0.03 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Sidney Crosby C | 18:50 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.16 | +0.50 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | |
| Jason Zucker L | 16:17 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.44 | +0.32 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 17:19 | 1 | 1 | +0.47 | +0.12 | +0.34 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 18:30 | 1 | +0.39 | +0.45 | −0.07 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Tanev L | 13:28 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.01 | +0.32 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Evgeni Malkin C | 18:06 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.09 | −0.13 | +0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Cody Ceci D | 24:41 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.24 | −0.02 | +0.13 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Teddy Blueger C | 14:24 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.02 | −0.09 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Jared McCann L | 11:01 | +0.11 | +0.02 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Kris Letang D | 5:17 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yannick Weber D | 12:02 | −0.07 | +0.03 | −0.04 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Lafferty C | 9:12 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Marino D | 26:03 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.50 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.36 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Jankowski L | 11:05 | −0.12 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bryan Rust R | 19:27 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.04 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chad Ruhwedel D | 22:52 | −0.23 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew O'Connor L | 13:51 | −0.26 | −0.07 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith G | 62:26 | −0.21 |
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Rooney C | 9:52 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.00 | +0.62 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Di Giuseppe L | 10:20 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brendan Lemieux L | 10:58 | 1 | +0.17 | −0.11 | +0.29 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jacob Trouba D | 24:06 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.17 | −0.06 | +0.15 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 22:10 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Brett Howden C | 8:38 | +0.05 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 13:27 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 21:22 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Colin Blackwell C | 2:53 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 16:40 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.09 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| K'Andre Miller D | 20:49 | 2 | −0.15 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.06 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brendan Smith D | 10:02 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Lindgren D | 21:46 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Fox D | 24:59 | −0.31 | +0.11 | −0.15 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 22:49 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.43 | +0.20 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 14:21 | −0.42 | −0.24 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tony DeAngelo D | 20:28 | 1 | −0.72 | −0.66 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mika Zibanejad C | 23:38 | −0.96 | −0.61 | −0.44 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandar Georgiev G | 62:16 | −1.43 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.