LAK beat CHI 4–3 in overtime. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 4.4 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Drew Doughty scored at 4:43 of overtime, moving LAK’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:50 |  LAK | Kyle Clifford from Tyler Toffoli, Blake Lizotte | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 4:29 | LAK | Matt Roy from Dustin Brown | 0–2 | 69% → 82% |
| P1 8:25 | CHI | Dominik KubalikPP from Kirby Dach, Alex Nylander | 1–2 | 17% → 30% |
| P1 17:23 | CHI | David Kampf unassisted | 2–2 | 29% → 47% |
| P3 12:37 | LAK | Michael Amadio from Dustin Brown, Kurtis MacDermid | 2–3 | 51% → 85% |
| P3 18:21 | CHI | Jonathan ToewsPP from Patrick Kane, Duncan Keith | 3–3 | 6% → 50% |
| OT 4:43 | LAK | Drew Doughty from Tyler Toffoli | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Toews C | 22:01 | 1 | +0.62 | −0.20 | +0.81 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Dominik Kubalik L | 13:50 | 1 | +0.33 | −0.03 | +0.29 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| David Kampf C | 15:48 | 1 | +0.30 | +0.02 | +0.35 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Alex Nylander L | 15:22 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.13 | −0.09 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Kirby Dach C | 7:29 | 1 | +0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Zack Smith C | 7:48 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Slater Koekkoek D | 14:02 | −0.15 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Brent Seabrook D | 21:11 | −0.16 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Duncan Keith D | 28:43 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.37 | −0.01 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Carpenter C | 15:11 | −0.17 | +0.24 | −0.00 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Calvin de Haan D | 23:12 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 17:31 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.09 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 18:57 | −0.24 | +0.33 | −0.53 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Andrew Shaw R | 9:16 | −0.29 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Olli Maatta D | 20:37 | −0.31 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 17:39 | −0.35 | −0.11 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Adam Boqvist D | 15:38 | −0.57 | −0.29 | −0.16 | −0.10 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 23:03 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.44 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Robin Lehner G | 5:18 | +0.30 |
| Corey Crawford G | 58:16 | −0.04 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Roy D | 12:26 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.18 | +0.39 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Toffoli C | 17:23 | 2 | +0.55 | +0.55 | −0.51 | +0.51 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Clifford L | 12:11 | 1 | +0.43 | +0.07 | +0.38 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dustin Brown R | 18:50 | 2 | +0.37 | −0.09 | −0.12 | +0.39 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Amadio R | 15:54 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.08 | +0.32 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jeff Carter C | 21:09 | +0.24 | +0.57 | −0.24 | −0.31 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.03 | ||
| Kurtis MacDermid L | 11:59 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 23:12 | +0.15 | +0.23 | −0.09 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Sean Walker D | 18:57 | +0.02 | +0.39 | −0.08 | −0.25 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 16:04 | +0.02 | +0.23 | −0.19 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 12:04 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.14 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Ben Hutton D | 18:56 | −0.00 | +0.15 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 12:19 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Alec Martinez D | 25:43 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.05 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 15:45 | −0.30 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ilya Kovalchuk L | 16:47 | −0.34 | −0.00 | −0.22 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 15:40 | −0.47 | −0.11 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 28:43 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.80 | +0.43 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Campbell G | 64:33 | +0.20 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.