DAL beat LAK 3–2 in overtime. DAL lost the expected-goals battle 2.2 to 2.6 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Esa Lindell scored at 1:07 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Jeff Zatkoff allowed 2.0 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:05 | LAK | Jeff CarterPP from Tanner Pearson | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P2 0:43 | DAL | Tyler Seguin from Jason Spezza, John Klingberg | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P3 3:30 | DAL | Radek Faksa from Brett Ritchie, Curtis McKenzie | 1–2 | 52% → 79% |
| P3 10:51 | LAK | Jeff Carter from Devin Setoguchi, Derek Forbort | 2–2 | 16% → 48% |
| OT 1:07 | DAL | Esa Lindell from Jamie Benn, Lauri Korpikoski | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Carter C | 20:06 | 2 | +0.75 | +0.18 | +0.66 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Tanner Pearson L | 16:13 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.33 | −0.13 | +0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 28:35 | +0.26 | +0.19 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 15:10 | +0.14 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Forbort D | 24:47 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.10 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Gravel D | 11:43 | +0.02 | +0.08 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Greene D | 11:27 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dustin Brown R | 18:43 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.10 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Devin Setoguchi R | 16:39 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.16 | +0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Muzzin D | 21:40 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicholas Shore C | 13:24 | −0.04 | +0.03 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Dwight King L | 15:36 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marian Gaborik R | 15:07 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Nolan C | 9:25 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andy Andreoff C | 7:56 | −0.18 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 22:55 | −0.22 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 9:23 | −0.33 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.17 | −0.04 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 19:21 | −0.53 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.35 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeff Zatkoff G | 61:07 | −2.02 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esa Lindell D | 21:14 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.04 | +0.51 | +0.07 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 24:51 | 1 | +0.51 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.37 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.02 | |
| Radek Faksa C | 19:29 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.06 | +0.24 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.10 | |
| Tyler Seguin C | 23:03 | 1 | +0.17 | −0.11 | +0.34 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brett Ritchie R | 13:02 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.12 | −0.13 | +0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Lauri Korpikoski L | 11:37 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Curtis McKenzie L | 13:59 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 12:38 | +0.08 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordie Benn D | 17:49 | +0.02 | +0.07 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnny Oduya D | 18:29 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jiri Hudler R | 10:45 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dan Hamhuis D | 17:19 | −0.08 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Cracknell R | 7:35 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Eaves R | 14:00 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Devin Shore C | 17:44 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jason Spezza C | 22:49 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.14 | −0.16 | +0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Patrik Nemeth D | 7:05 | −0.33 | −0.13 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| John Klingberg D | 24:59 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.28 | −0.06 | +0.11 | −0.04 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kari Lehtonen G | 61:07 | −0.23 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.