Scott Sabourin — Tampa Bay Lightning

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Scott Sabourin

RW · #49 · TBL · 34

Average career stats over an 84-game season

-10

+/−

169

PIM

7:30

TOI/GP

0:00

PP TOI/GP

0:00

SH TOI/GP

Regular seasonPlayoffsSeasonCareer to dateRawRegressed

Season	Team	Type	GP	Box score					Net goals per 84 games											Elo	Playoffs	On-ice context						Contract
Season	Team	Type	GP	G	A	P	+/−	PIM	EV off	EV def	PP	PK	Fin	Play	Supp	Pen	FO	SO	Overall	Elo	Playoffs	Comp	Mates	Top linemates				Cap hit	% of cap	NG/84 per $M
2019-20			35	2	4	6	-6	33	-1.27:00	+0.4	-0.10:00	+0.0	-0.8	-0.8	-0.2	-1.6	-0.0	-0.0	-4.3	-24		-0.4	-2.2	Chabot 37%	Hainsey 32%	Zaitsev 31%	Boedker 28%	$0.70M	0.9%	-6.21
2025-26			26	1	4	5	+1	89	-0.67:56	+0.5	-0.10:00	+0.2	+0.3	-0.7	-0.2	-4.2	-0.1	-0.0	-4.9	-14	-12.62 GP	-0.7	-0.5	D'Astous 33%	Paul 30%	Douglas 30%	Carlile 26%	$0.78M	0.8%	-6.28
2019-20			35	2	4	6	-6	33	-0.37:00	+0.1	-0.00:00	+0.0	-0.0	-0.8	-0.2	-0.5	-0.0	-0.0	-1.8	-24		-0.4	-2.2	Chabot 37%	Hainsey 32%	Zaitsev 31%	Boedker 28%	$0.70M	0.9%	-2.52
2025-26			26	1	4	5	+1	89	-0.47:56	+0.1	-0.00:00	+0.0	-0.0	-0.7	-0.1	-1.3	-0.0	-0.0	-2.5	-14	-12.62 GP	-0.7	-0.5	D'Astous 33%	Paul 30%	Douglas 30%	Carlile 26%	$0.78M	0.8%	-3.27
2019-20			35	2	4	6	-6	33	-0.47:00	+0.0	-0.00:00	+0.0	-0.0	-0.8	+0.1	-0.5	-0.0	-0.0	-1.6	1476		-0.4	-2.2	Chabot 37%	Hainsey 32%	Zaitsev 31%	Boedker 28%	$0.70M	0.9%	-2.22
2025-26			61	3	10	13	-9	147	-0.47:56	+0.1	-0.00:00	+0.0	-0.0	-0.7	-0.2	-1.1	-0.0	-0.0	-2.4	1470	-12.62 GP	-0.5	-1.7	Chabot 20%	Hainsey 14%	Zaitsev 14%	D'Astous 13%	$0.75M	0.9%	-3.24

Season	Team	GP	Box score					Net goals per 84 games
Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−	PIM	EV off	EV def	PP	PK	Fin	Play	Supp	Pen	FO	SO	Overall
2025-26		2	0	0	0	+0	2	-6.5	+3.1	-0.0	+0.1	+0.0	-0.6	-0.0	-8.6	-0.0	-0.0	-12.6
2025-26		2	0	0	0	+0	2	-6.5	+3.1	-0.0	+0.1	+0.0	-0.6	-0.0	-8.6	+0.0	-0.0	-12.6

NHL Edge — tracking, 2021-22 on

Season	Shot mph	Speed mph	22+ /GP	20–22 /GP	18–20 /GP	Miles /60
2025-26			0.00	1.0	4.8	10.1

Over time

Career net goalsrunning total vs a league-average player

Games and opponents

Single-game net goalsshare of his 73 games by that night’s total

Best game +0.90 net goals · Feb 29, 2020 vs DET (W 4–3 SO) · Game recap →

Vs competition quartilescareer at 5v5, opposing fives ranked by average net goals/84

Shots

Best finishes on videohis lowest-xG goals with a highlight clip (2018-19 on)

	xG	Date	Opp	Sit	Shot
1	0.036	Nov 12, 2025	vs NYR	EV	Wrist	Watch ▸
2	0.140	Feb 29, 2020	vs DET	EV	Wrist	Watch ▸

Comparables at 33

The most similar players at the same age: level, trajectory, experience, ice time and style. Net goals per 84 then, and over their next three seasons.

Now: −2.3 (2025-26 and the season before, regressed)

Scottcomparables

Landon Wilson 2008-09 DAL · 79% match
then −2.7→out out out
Krys Barch 2013-14 FLA · 73% match
then −3.2→out out out
Matt Ellis 2014-15 BUF · 72% match
then −3.5→out out out
Jordin Tootoo 2016-17 CHI · 72% match
then −2.9→out out out
Derek Ryan 2020-21 CGY · 71% match
then −1.2→+1.9 +0.9 +2.8

They averaged +1.9 the next season; 1 of 5 were still in the NHL three seasons later. In backtests, comparables add information about how long a career lasts; for next season, the forecast above is the better guide.