Comparables at 28
The most similar players at the same age: level, trajectory, experience, ice time and style. Net goals per 84 then, and over their next three seasons.
Now: −0.7 (2025-26 and the season before, regressed)
Jackcomparables
Yohann Auvitu 2017-18 EDM · 79% match
then −0.6→out out out
Jonas Frogren 2008-09 TOR · 79% match
then −0.4→out out out
Bogdan Kiselevich 2018-19 FLA · 78% match
then −0.1→out out out
Tyler Sloan 2009-10 WSH · 77% match
then −0.7→−1.0 out out
Taylor Fedun 2016-17 BUF · 76% match
then −2.4→7 GP +2.7 +2.8
They averaged −1.0 the next season; 1 of 5 were still in the NHL three seasons later. In backtests, comparables add information about how long a career lasts; for next season, the forecast above is the better guide.