Dylan McIlrath — Washington Capitals

Washington Capitals › Dylan McIlrath

Dylan McIlrath

D · #52 · WSH · 34

Average career stats over an 84-game season

-6

+/−

137

PIM

12:36

TOI/GP

0:01

PP TOI/GP

0:54

SH TOI/GP

Regular seasonPlayoffsSeasonCareer to dateRawRegressed

Season	Team	Type	GP	Box score					Net goals per 84 games											Elo	Playoffs	On-ice context						Contract
Season	Team	Type	GP	G	A	P	+/−	PIM	EV off	EV def	PP	PK	Fin	Play	Supp	Pen	FO	SO	Overall	Elo	Playoffs	Comp	Mates	Top linemates				Cap hit	% of cap	NG/84 per $M
2015-16			34	2	2	4	+7	64	-0.213:09	-1.0	+0.00:02	+0.90:55	+2.6	+0.4	+0.3	-2.6	+0.0	+0.0	+0.5	-27	-3.01 GP	-0.5	-1.4	Yandle 49%	Hayes 28%	Moore 27%	Lindberg 24%	$0.60M	0.8%	+0.86
2019-20			16	0	0	0	-4	23	-2.612:08	-0.1	+0.3	-1.12:40	-2.0	-0.2	+0.2	-7.2	+0.0	+0.0	-12.7	-29		-0.5	-5.1	Cholowski 40%	Nielsen 32%	Filppula 24%	Larkin 24%	$0.70M	0.9%	-18.10
2024-25			17	0	2	2	-3	28	-0.611:26	+1.4	+0.10:03	-0.70:09	-1.5	+0.2	+0.3	-1.8	+0.0	+0.0	-2.7	+10		+0.0	+2.3	Fehérváry 37%	Mangiapane 30%	Ovechkin 30%	Strome 29%	$0.78M	0.9%	-3.48
2025-26			13	0	0	0	-1	10	-1.29:09	+1.1	-0.2	+0.30:09	-1.2	+0.0	+0.4	+2.5	+0.0	+0.0	+1.7	+5		-0.5	-1.2	Lapierre 33%	Duhaime 31%	Strome 29%	Sandin 27%	$0.80M	0.8%	+2.11
2015-16			34	2	2	4	+7	64	-0.113:09	-0.2	+0.00:02	+0.10:55	+0.1	+0.4	+0.2	-0.7	+0.0	-0.0	-0.2	-27	-3.01 GP	-0.5	-1.4	Yandle 49%	Hayes 28%	Moore 27%	Lindberg 24%	$0.60M	0.8%	-0.25
2019-20			16	0	0	0	-4	23	-0.512:08	-0.1	+0.0	-0.02:40	+0.1	-0.2	-0.1	-1.8	+0.0	+0.0	-2.4	-29		-0.5	-5.1	Cholowski 40%	Nielsen 32%	Filppula 24%	Larkin 24%	$0.70M	0.9%	-3.48
2024-25			17	0	2	2	-3	28	-0.411:26	+0.1	+0.00:03	-0.00:09	+0.0	+0.2	+0.1	-1.5	+0.0	+0.0	-1.5	+10		+0.0	+2.3	Fehérváry 37%	Mangiapane 30%	Ovechkin 30%	Strome 29%	$0.78M	0.9%	-1.98
2025-26			13	0	0	0	-1	10	-0.59:09	+0.1	+0.0	+0.00:09	+0.0	+0.0	+0.2	-1.0	+0.0	+0.0	-1.1	+5		-0.5	-1.2	Lapierre 33%	Duhaime 31%	Strome 29%	Sandin 27%	$0.80M	0.8%	-1.42
2015-16			34	2	2	4	+6	80	-0.113:09	-0.1	+0.00:02	+0.10:55	+0.1	+0.2	-0.6	-0.7	+0.0	-0.0	-1.0	1471	-3.01 GP	-0.5	-1.3	Yandle 47%	Hayes 27%	Moore 27%	Lindberg 23%	$1.06M	1.6%	-0.97
2019-20			50	3	2	5	+2	121	-0.312:08	-0.1	+0.0	+0.02:40	+0.1	-0.1	-0.2	-1.5	+0.0	-0.0	-2.1	1461	-3.01 GP	-0.4	-2.4	Yandle 29%	Hayes 15%	Moore 15%	Lindberg 13%	$0.89M	1.3%	-2.37
2024-25			67	3	6	9	-6	161	-0.411:26	-0.0	+0.00:03	+0.00:09	+0.0	+0.1	-0.0	-1.5	+0.0	-0.0	-1.8	1499	+2.05 GP	-0.5	-1.5	Yandle 22%	Hayes 11%	Moore 11%	Lindberg 10%	$0.85M	1.1%	-2.14
2025-26			80	3	6	9	-7	171	-0.49:09	-0.0	+0.0	+0.00:09	+0.0	+0.1	+0.1	-1.2	+0.0	-0.0	-1.3	1504	+2.05 GP	-0.5	-1.5	Yandle 20%	Hayes 10%	Moore 10%	Strome 9%	$0.84M	1.1%	-1.60

Season	Team	GP	Box score					Net goals per 84 games
Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−	PIM	EV off	EV def	PP	PK	Fin	Play	Supp	Pen	FO	SO	Overall
2015-16		1	0	0	0	+1	0	-0.3	-2.8	+0.1	+0.6	-1.7	+0.0	-0.0	+1.2	+0.0	+0.0	-3.0
2023-24		4	0	0	0	+2	10	-2.9	+4.7	+0.1	-0.7	+0.4	+0.1	+0.2	+1.3	+0.0	-0.0	+3.2
2015-16		1	0	0	0	+1	0	-0.3	-2.8	+0.1	+0.6	-1.7	+0.0	-0.0	+1.2	+0.0	+0.0	-3.0
2023-24		5	0	0	0	+3	10	-2.4	+3.2	+0.1	-0.5	-0.0	+0.1	+0.2	+1.2	+0.0	-0.0	+2.0

NHL Edge — tracking, 2021-22 on

Season	Shot mph	Speed mph	22+ /GP	20–22 /GP	18–20 /GP	Miles /60
2024-25			0.00	0.3	2.0	8.6
2025-26			0.00	0.2	2.2	8.7

Over time

84-game formtrailing net goals/84

Career net goalsrunning total vs a league-average player

84-game stretcheshis best and worst windows of the form line

	G	A	P	PPP	+/−	TOI/GP	Pen taken	Pen drawn	FO%	Team W-L-OTL
Best-1.9Dec 12 ’13 – Nov 2 ’24	3	6	9	0	0	13:14	49	26	—	39-37-8
Worst-2.8Jan 14 ’16 – Mar 3 ’26	2	5	7	0	-8	12:10	41	22	—	42-37-5

Games and opponents

Single-game net goalsshare of his 105 games by that night’s total

Best game +1.03 net goals · Jan 25, 2016 vs BUF (W 6–3) · Game recap →

Vs competition quartilescareer at 5v5, opposing fives ranked by average net goals/84

Comparables at 33

The most similar players at the same age: level, trajectory, experience, ice time and style. Net goals per 84 then, and over their next three seasons.

Now: −0.4 (2025-26 and the season before, regressed)

Dylancomparables

Matt Greene 2016-17 LAK · 72% match
then −0.5→out out out
Jason Strudwick 2008-09 EDM · 71% match
then −1.3→−4.3 −2.3 out
Shane Hnidy 2009-10 MIN · 71% match
then +0.7→3 GP out out
Deryk Engelland 2015-16 CGY · 69% match
then −0.6→−0.6 +1.0 +0.9
Robert Bortuzzo 2022-23 STL · 68% match
then −2.0→−7.0 −2.0 out

They averaged −4.0 the next season; 1 of 5 were still in the NHL three seasons later. In backtests, comparables add information about how long a career lasts; for next season, the forecast above is the better guide.