David Gustafsson — Pittsburgh Penguins

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David Gustafsson

C · #13 · PIT · 26 · Complementary skill winger

Average career stats over an 84-game season

+/−

PIM

8:48

TOI/GP

0:02

PP TOI/GP

0:44

SH TOI/GP

Regular seasonPlayoffsSeasonCareer to dateRawRegressed

Season	Team	Type	GP	Box score					Net goals per 84 games											Elo	Playoffs	On-ice context						Contract
Season	Team	Type	GP	G	A	P	+/−	PIM	EV off	EV def	PP	PK	Fin	Play	Supp	Pen	FO	SO	Overall	Elo	Playoffs	Comp	Mates	Top linemates				Cap hit	% of cap	NG/84 per $M
2019-20			22	1	0	1	-2	0	-3.06:05	-0.8	+0.00:00	+0.10:02	+2.5	-0.8	+0.2	+1.6	+0.2	-0.0	-0.0	+10		-0.9	-3.2	Shaw 61%	Luoto 52%	Sbisa 33%	Pionk 33%	$0.82M	1.0%	-0.06
2022-23			46	0	6	6	+2	6	-1.18:28	+0.4	-0.00:06	+0.21:30	-6.6	-0.9	+0.2	+0.6	-0.1	-0.0	-7.3	-4	+1.33 GP	+0.2	+1.0	Jonsson-Fjallby 38%	DeMelo 37%	Dillon 36%	Pionk 30%	$0.78M	0.9%	-9.38
2023-24			39	3	4	7	+1	0	-1.08:25	+0.1	+0.00:01	-0.30:48	+0.2	-1.3	+0.1	+0.4	+0.4	+0.0	-1.4	+30	+8.94 GP	+0.1	-0.7	Barron 68%	Samberg 37%	Pionk 34%	Dillon 32%	$0.78M	0.9%	-1.75
2024-25			36	2	4	6	+10	7	-0.28:45	+1.9	-0.10:00	+0.30:12	-2.1	-1.0	+0.2	-0.4	-0.0	-0.0	-1.4	+18	+11.84 GP	-0.4	+1.5	Barron 62%	Iafallo 39%	DeMelo 36%	Stanley 33%	$0.83M	0.9%	-1.69
2019-20			22	1	0	1	-2	0	-0.66:05	-0.1	+0.00:00	+0.00:02	+0.0	-0.8	+0.1	+0.3	+0.1	-0.0	-0.9	+10		-0.9	-3.2	Shaw 61%	Luoto 52%	Sbisa 33%	Pionk 33%	$0.82M	1.0%	-1.15
2022-23			46	0	6	6	+2	6	-0.88:28	+0.1	-0.00:06	+0.01:30	-0.5	-0.9	+0.2	+0.4	+0.0	-0.0	-1.5	-4	+1.33 GP	+0.2	+1.0	Jonsson-Fjallby 38%	DeMelo 37%	Dillon 36%	Pionk 30%	$0.78M	0.9%	-1.87
2023-24			39	3	4	7	+1	0	-0.98:25	+0.0	-0.00:01	-0.00:48	-0.3	-1.2	+0.1	+0.4	+0.2	+0.0	-1.7	+30	+8.94 GP	+0.1	-0.7	Barron 68%	Samberg 37%	Pionk 34%	Dillon 32%	$0.78M	0.9%	-2.13
2024-25			36	2	4	6	+10	7	-0.68:45	+0.4	-0.00:00	+0.00:12	-0.4	-1.0	+0.1	+0.2	+0.1	-0.0	-1.2	+18	+11.84 GP	-0.4	+1.5	Barron 62%	Iafallo 39%	DeMelo 36%	Stanley 33%	$0.83M	0.9%	-1.48
2019-20			22	1	0	1	-2	0	-0.66:05	-0.1	-0.00:00	+0.00:02	+0.0	-0.5	-0.0	+0.3	+0.1	-0.0	-0.8	1510		-0.9	-3.2	Shaw 61%	Luoto 52%	Sbisa 33%	Pionk 33%	$0.82M	1.0%	-0.96
2022-23			68	1	6	7	-1	6	-0.88:28	+0.0	-0.00:06	+0.01:30	-0.3	-0.7	+0.0	+0.4	+0.0	-0.0	-1.3	1498	+1.33 GP	-0.0	-0.1	Pionk 29%	Jonsson-Fjallby 28%	DeMelo 28%	Dillon 27%	$0.81M	1.0%	-1.62
2023-24			107	4	10	14	+0	6	-0.88:25	+0.0	-0.00:01	+0.00:48	-0.3	-1.1	-0.2	+0.4	+0.1	-0.0	-1.9	1529	+5.67 GP	-0.0	-0.3	Pionk 31%	Dillon 29%	Barron 25%	Jonsson-Fjallby 18%	$0.80M	1.0%	-2.36
2024-25			143	6	14	20	+10	13	-0.78:45	+0.2	-0.00:00	+0.00:12	-0.4	-1.1	+0.1	+0.3	+0.1	-0.0	-1.5	1541	+7.911 GP	-0.1	+0.1	Barron 34%	Pionk 23%	DeMelo 22%	Dillon 22%	$0.81M	1.0%	-1.86

Season	Team	GP	Box score					Net goals per 84 games
Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−	PIM	EV off	EV def	PP	PK	Fin	Play	Supp	Pen	FO	SO	Overall
2022-23		3	0	0	0	+2	0	-4.3	+1.4	+0.0	-0.7	-0.1	-0.9	+0.2	+5.0	+0.8	-0.0	+1.3
2023-24		4	1	0	1	-1	2	-2.2	+0.2	-0.0	+0.3	+11.3	-0.8	+0.2	-0.4	+0.4	+0.0	+8.9
2024-25		4	1	0	1	+0	0	+0.0	+1.7	+0.0	+0.1	+11.2	-1.0	+0.2	-0.4	-0.0	-0.0	+11.8
2022-23		3	0	0	0	+2	0	-4.3	+1.4	+0.0	-0.7	-0.1	-0.9	+0.2	+5.0	+0.8	-0.0	+1.3
2023-24		7	1	0	1	+1	2	-3.1	+0.7	-0.0	-0.2	+6.4	-0.9	+0.2	+1.9	+0.6	-0.0	+5.6
2024-25		11	2	0	2	+1	2	-2.0	+1.1	-0.0	-0.1	+8.1	-0.9	+0.2	+1.1	+0.4	-0.0	+7.9

NHL Edge — tracking, 2021-22 on

Season	22+ /GP	20–22 /GP	18–20 /GP	Miles /60
2022-23	0.07	1.7	5.3	9.7
2023-24	0.15	1.0	6.1	9.8
2024-25	0.03	0.9	5.6	9.8

Over time

84-game formtrailing net goals/84

Career net goalsrunning total vs a league-average player

84-game stretcheshis best and worst windows of the form line

	G	A	P	PPP	+/−	TOI/GP	Pen taken	Pen drawn	FO%	Team W-L-OTL
Best-2.2Dec 31 ’22 – Apr 7 ’25	5	10	15	0	+12	9:07	3	6	53.4	55-24-5
Worst-5.7Nov 5 ’22 – Jan 4 ’25	3	8	11	0	+3	9:37	5	8	51.6	51-29-4

Games and opponents

Single-game net goalsshare of his 149 games by that night’s total

Best game +1.07 net goals · Nov 27, 2019 at SJS (W 5–1) · Game recap →

Vs competition quartilescareer at 5v5, opposing fives ranked by average net goals/84

Shots

Shot mixhis shots on goal by type and location, 2010-11 on

	Share	Total shots	Avg dist (ft)	xG	G	G/xG	Net goals/84
Wrist	57%	61	39	4.3	2	0.46	–
Snap	15%	16	39	1.8	3	1.67	–
Slap	3%	3	56	0.1	0	–	–
Backhand	10%	11	25	1.3	0	0.00	–
Tip-in	12%	13	16	2.0	1	0.51	–
Deflection	2%	2	32	0.3	0	–	–
Other	1%	1	6	0.2	0	–	–
Total		107	35	10.0	6	0.60	-2.4

	Share	Total shots	Avg dist (ft)	xG	G	G/xG	Net goals/84
Wrist	58%	59	38	4.3	2	0.46	–
Snap	15%	15	38	1.7	3	1.81	–
Slap	3%	3	56	0.1	0	–	–
Backhand	9%	9	21	1.1	0	–	–
Tip-in	13%	13	16	2.0	1	0.51	–
Deflection	2%	2	32	0.3	0	–	–
Other	1%	1	6	0.2	0	–	–
Total		102	34	9.6	6	0.62	-2.1

	Share	Total shots	Avg dist (ft)	xG	G/xG	Net goals/84
Wrist	40%	2	89	0.0	–	–
Snap	20%	1	48	0.1	–	–
Backhand	40%	2	40	0.2	–	–
Total		5	61	0.4	–	–

The rink is drawn from his side: he attacks left to right, his left on top. Right half: where his own shots come from. Left half: where opponents shoot from while he is on the ice (shared with his linemates and the team system). Blue = a bigger share of those shots from that zone than the league average for forwards in the same situation (and shot type, when one is picked); red = a smaller share.

shots on goal against with him on vs forwards · n=607 · ±0.08pphis shots on goal vs forwards · n=107 · ±0.30pp

Best finishes on videohis lowest-xG goals with a highlight clip (2018-19 on)

	xG	Date	Opp	Sit	Shot
1	0.021	Nov 27, 2019	at SJS	EV	Wrist	Watch ▸
2	0.105	Apr 11, 2024	at DAL	EV	Tip-in	Watch ▸
3	0.139	Oct 30, 2023	vs NYR	EV	Snap	Watch ▸

Faceoffs

Faceoffs by dotcareer since 2019-20, shoots L

51.2% won +0.4

689 draws; the league wins 50.8% at the dots he takes

Draw mix	His draws	League
Own zone	44%	35%
Neutral	38%	30%
Attacking	18%	35%

Draw mix	His draws	League
Own zone	41%	33%
Neutral	40%	34%
Attacking	19%	33%

Draw mix	His draws	League
Own zone	75%	83%
Neutral	21%	13%
Attacking	4%	4%

Drawn from his side: he attacks left to right, his left at the top. Circle: his win% at that dot, colored by how far it sits above (blue) or below (red) the league there, the small number (±10 scale). Bar: his share of all his draws taken there, the tick the league share (0–30% of his draws; 0–60% on the power play and penalty kill).

Comparables at 24

The most similar players at the same age: level, trajectory, experience, ice time and style. Net goals per 84 then, and over their next three seasons.

Now: −1.0 (2024-25 and the season before, regressed)

Davidcomparables

Corey Tropp 2013-14 CBJ · 91% match
then −1.4→−7.2 out 1 GP
Julien Gauthier 2022-23 NYR · 90% match
then −1.7→−0.9 1 GP out
Juho Lammikko 2020-21 FLA · 89% match
then −1.1→−4.3 out out
Mike Blunden 2011-12 MTL · 89% match
then −1.8→5 GP 7 GP 2 GP
Logan Brown 2022-23 STL · 87% match
then −1.6→out out out

They averaged −4.1 the next season; 2 of 5 were still in the NHL three seasons later. In backtests, comparables add information about how long a career lasts; for next season, the forecast above is the better guide.