LAK beat STL 5–4 in a shootout. Expected goals were close to even (LAK 3.1, STL 3.3), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Jordan Kyrou scored on the power play at 17:50 of the third, moving STL’s win probability from 9% to 50%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:31 | LAK | Taylor Ward from Jeff Malott, Samuel Helenius | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 1:11 | LAK | Brian Dumoulin from Alex Laferriere, Adrian Kempe | 2–0 | 66% → 81% |
| P2 2:14 | STL | Dalibor Dvorsky from Otto Stenberg, Mathieu Joseph | 2–1 | 19% → 34% |
| P2 6:30 | STL | Brayden SchennPP from Pavel Buchnevich, Jimmy Snuggerud | 2–2 | 33% → 53% |
| P2 8:10 | STL | Jordan Kyrou from Logan Mailloux, Cam Fowler | 2–3 | 53% → 73% |
| P2 10:18 | LAK | Alex Laferriere from Corey Perry, Mikey Anderson | 3–3 | 26% → 47% |
| P3 11:34 | LAK | Trevor Moore from Brandt Clarke, Joel Armia | 4–3 | 48% → 83% |
| P3 17:50 | STL | Jordan KyrouPP from Justin Faulk | 4–4 | 9% → 50% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Moore L | 19:43 | 1 | +1.25 | −0.15 | +0.20 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +1.01 | |
| Brian Dumoulin D | 18:23 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.03 | +0.44 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Quinton Byfield R | 22:14 | +0.42 | +0.31 | +0.00 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Taylor Ward R | 9:48 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.01 | +0.40 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jeff Malott L | 9:47 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Samuel Helenius C | 10:03 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Joel Edmundson D | 16:27 | +0.15 | +0.22 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 18:51 | +0.14 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 22:54 | 1 | +0.08 | −0.36 | −0.10 | +0.10 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.02 | +0.66 | |
| Alex Turcotte C | 14:02 | +0.01 | +0.15 | −0.13 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 16:36 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Corey Perry R | 17:00 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Brandt Clarke D | 23:42 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.42 | −0.29 | +0.18 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.20 | |
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 14:12 | −0.10 | +0.07 | −0.12 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 21:24 | 1 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.47 | +0.17 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Kevin Fiala L | 19:52 | −0.15 | +0.42 | −0.04 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.16 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 21:46 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.35 | −0.01 | +0.07 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 28:03 | −0.59 | −0.50 | −0.00 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 65:00 | −0.08 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalibor Dvorsky R | 17:52 | 1 | +1.17 | +0.20 | +0.23 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.03 | +1.01 | |
| Jordan Kyrou R | 20:29 | 2 | +1.06 | +0.38 | +1.17 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.38 | |
| Brayden Schenn C | 19:43 | 1 | +0.34 | −0.01 | +0.34 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 21:01 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.45 | −0.30 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Justin Faulk D | 23:33 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.55 | −0.14 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Otto Stenberg C | 14:05 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.07 | −0.11 | +0.22 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Cam Fowler D | 19:21 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Tucker D | 15:50 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nathan Walker L | 8:56 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jonatan Berggren R | 18:59 | −0.06 | +0.06 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Joseph R | 11:46 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Colton Parayko D | 23:03 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexey Toropchenko R | 9:36 | −0.10 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nick Bjugstad C | 10:38 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Logan Mailloux D | 16:39 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.39 | −0.00 | +0.20 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Philip Broberg D | 25:41 | −0.38 | −0.34 | −0.11 | +0.05 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Neighbours L | 16:30 | −0.38 | +0.21 | −0.21 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Jimmy Snuggerud R | 19:05 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.22 | −0.13 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.39 | +0.00 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer G | 74:36 | −0.88 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.