NYI beat TBL 2–0. NYI lost the expected-goals battle 1.6 to 3.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Calum Ritchie scored on the power play at 12:46 of the third, moving NYI’s win probability from 50% to 83%. Ilya Sorokin saved 3.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYI–TBL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 12:46 | NYI | Calum RitchiePP from Anders Lee, Tony DeAngelo | 1–0 | 50% → 83% |
| P3 19:58 | NYI | Casey CizikasEN unassisted | 2–0 | 97% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calum Ritchie C | 12:41 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.07 | +0.72 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle MacLean C | 12:56 | +0.07 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 14:04 | 1 | +0.04 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Tony DeAngelo D | 16:25 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Boqvist D | 11:46 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maxim Tsyplakov R | 10:35 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Simon Holmstrom R | 18:45 | −0.14 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Heineman L | 18:16 | −0.14 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Duclair L | 14:13 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Pulock D | 22:38 | −0.20 | −0.20 | −0.04 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathew Barzal C | 16:38 | −0.21 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 13:45 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Scott Mayfield D | 18:39 | −0.22 | −0.17 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc Gatcomb C | 10:29 | −0.23 | +0.03 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maksim Shabanov R | 15:44 | −0.24 | −0.09 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Schaefer D | 24:27 | −0.31 | −0.19 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 21:56 | −0.53 | −0.34 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 22:13 | −0.67 | −0.44 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin G | 59:50 | +3.39 |
TBL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 22:22 | +0.43 | +0.57 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Guentzel C | 22:39 | +0.35 | +0.36 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yanni Gourde C | 17:36 | +0.29 | +0.08 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Darren Raddysh D | 23:28 | +0.18 | +0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Hagel L | 22:04 | +0.05 | +0.50 | −0.45 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gage Goncalves C | 10:32 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Lilleberg D | 18:15 | +0.03 | +0.20 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| J.J. Moser D | 19:11 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Paul L | 17:57 | −0.03 | +0.39 | −0.43 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Max Crozier D | 16:44 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pontus Holmberg R | 13:43 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 14:21 | −0.13 | +0.09 | −0.19 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 13:43 | −0.14 | −0.04 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Finley C | 8:50 | −0.14 | +0.04 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dominic James C | 13:06 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Curtis Douglas C | 5:55 | −0.19 | +0.07 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Victor Hedman D | 16:43 | −0.21 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Cirelli C | 21:33 | −0.35 | +0.40 | −0.98 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonas Johansson G | 56:46 | +0.24 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.