PIT beat NYR 3–0. PIT also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Justin Brazeau scored at 19:28 of the first, moving PIT’s win probability from 47% to 65%. Arturs Silovs saved 2.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PIT–NYR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 19:28 |  PIT | Justin Brazeau from Evgeni Malkin | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P3 17:48 | PIT | Justin BrazeauEN from Evgeni Malkin, Anthony Mantha | 2–0 | 92% → 100% |
| P3 18:08 | PIT | Blake LizotteEN from Ryan Shea, Connor Dewar | 3–0 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evgeni Malkin C | 16:28 | 2 | +0.23 | +0.23 | −0.03 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Justin Brazeau R | 12:49 | 2 | +0.06 | +0.11 | +0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Shea D | 22:31 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.16 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noel Acciari C | 13:40 | −0.04 | +0.07 | −0.06 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Caleb Jones D | 15:36 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Dewar C | 14:11 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anthony Mantha R | 15:41 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.17 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sidney Crosby C | 17:49 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Ben Kindel C | 15:11 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Tommy Novak C | 12:08 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 23:15 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 13:55 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.05 | −0.13 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Erik Karlsson D | 20:33 | −0.12 | +0.04 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philip Tomasino C | 13:37 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kris Letang D | 22:47 | −0.20 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 15:57 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ville Koivunen R | 14:31 | −0.21 | −0.05 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Harrison Brunicke D | 15:21 | −0.23 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs G | 60:00 | +2.47 |
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Laba C | 13:40 | +0.05 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 20:47 | −0.02 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Braden Schneider D | 18:06 | −0.02 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Borgen D | 17:53 | −0.04 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Urho Vaakanainen D | 17:35 | −0.04 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 10:01 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Adam Edstrom C | 8:32 | −0.10 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carson Soucy D | 18:59 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.10 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 13:07 | −0.11 | +0.03 | −0.11 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Matt Rempe C | 9:27 | −0.11 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Sheary L | 12:42 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Cuylle L | 19:26 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 20:50 | −0.21 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 18:18 | −0.25 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vincent Trocheck C | 20:32 | −0.28 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fox D | 22:25 | −0.30 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 20:04 | −0.34 | +0.01 | −0.32 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 15:59 | −0.43 | −0.14 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin G | 59:37 | +2.12 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.