NYR beat SJS 6–1. NYR also won the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Artemi Panarin scored at 12:04 of the first, moving NYR’s win probability from 47% to 64%. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.3 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–SJS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 12:04 |  NYR | Artemi Panarin from Braden Schneider, Urho Vaakanainen | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 13:58 | NYR | Artemi Panarin from Will Borgen, Vincent Trocheck | 2–0 | 64% → 78% |
| P2 4:48 | NYR | Adam Fox from Brennan Othmann, Mika Zibanejad | 3–0 | 82% → 94% |
| P3 3:08 | NYR | Jonny Brodzinski from Chris Kreider, Urho Vaakanainen | 4–0 | 98% → 100% |
| P3 5:47 | NYR | Adam Fox from J.T. Miller, K'Andre Miller | 5–0 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 16:53 | NYR | Vincent TrocheckSH from J.T. Miller | 6–0 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 17:46 | SJS | Cam LundPP from Collin Graf, Will Smith | 6–1 | 0% → 0% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Trocheck C | 18:12 | 1 | 1 | +1.04 | +0.04 | +0.75 | +0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.14 |
| Artemi Panarin L | 16:53 | 2 | +0.80 | +0.06 | +0.76 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Fox D | 22:29 | 2 | +0.66 | +0.05 | +0.68 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brennan Othmann L | 11:42 | 1 | +0.50 | +0.05 | −0.05 | +0.30 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Jonny Brodzinski C | 12:53 | 1 | +0.26 | −0.04 | +0.39 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Will Borgen D | 17:26 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.22 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Urho Vaakanainen D | 16:43 | 2 | +0.19 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chris Kreider L | 14:45 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.02 | −0.09 | +0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| J.T. Miller C | 16:02 | 2 | +0.11 | −0.01 | −0.08 | +0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| K'Andre Miller D | 21:47 | 1 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Braden Schneider D | 18:48 | 1 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.24 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Carson Soucy D | 20:16 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel R | 11:24 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 12:28 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 16:05 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Berard L | 10:33 | −0.20 | −0.05 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 18:05 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.02 | −0.21 | +0.10 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.04 | |
| Will Cuylle L | 16:10 | −0.32 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 60:00 | +1.24 |
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Lund C | 12:04 | 1 | +0.31 | −0.04 | +0.42 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Barclay Goodrow C | 12:33 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Luca Cagnoni D | 18:32 | +0.14 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Collin Graf R | 16:01 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.11 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Alexander Wennberg C | 20:22 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.20 | −0.05 | ||
| Jimmy Schuldt D | 10:01 | −0.00 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack Ostapchuk C | 10:16 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shakir Mukhamadullin D | 20:59 | −0.05 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Smith C | 16:21 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.11 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Timothy Liljegren D | 24:18 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Toffoli C | 17:49 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Klim Kostin C | 9:54 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mario Ferraro D | 24:45 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.04 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Eklund L | 18:25 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Giles R | 11:40 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Lucas Carlsson D | 18:50 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 12:09 | −0.28 | +0.02 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Macklin Celebrini C | 19:01 | −0.36 | +0.03 | −0.22 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.09 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandar Georgiev G | 60:00 | −1.28 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.