TBL beat LAK 3–2 in overtime. TBL also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mathieu Joseph scored at 3:25 of overtime, moving TBL’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–TBL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:06 | LAK | Drew DoughtyPP from Alex Iafallo, Anze Kopitar | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 18:01 | TBL | Victor HedmanPP from Steven Stamkos, Patrick Maroon | 1–1 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 0:30 | LAK | Viktor Arvidsson from Matt Roy, Phillip Danault | 2–1 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 14:19 | TBL | Taylor Raddysh from Jan Rutta, Boris Katchouk | 2–2 | 30% → 53% |
| OT 3:25 | TBL | Mathieu Joseph from Ross Colton | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Doughty D | 25:10 | 1 | +0.72 | +0.14 | +0.77 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 17:13 | 1 | +0.64 | −0.24 | +0.92 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 19:20 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Christian Wolanin D | 14:54 | +0.11 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Olli Maatta D | 22:58 | +0.08 | +0.11 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Lemieux L | 11:55 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 13:25 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 9:22 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:00 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.24 | −0.29 | +0.04 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.03 | |
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 9:29 | −0.17 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 10:53 | −0.18 | −0.04 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tobias Bjornfot D | 18:26 | −0.26 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 20:53 | −0.28 | −0.02 | −0.27 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 21:03 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.13 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 13:11 | −0.30 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Durzi D | 18:55 | −0.31 | −0.22 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 20:18 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.22 | −0.34 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Dustin Brown R | 17:02 | −0.62 | −0.02 | −0.62 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 63:13 | +0.35 |
TBL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Joseph R | 14:04 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.31 | +0.46 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Taylor Raddysh R | 10:27 | 1 | +0.65 | +0.04 | +0.64 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Victor Hedman D | 25:14 | 1 | +0.61 | −0.00 | +0.60 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mikhail Sergachev D | 23:37 | +0.30 | +0.28 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Maroon L | 18:12 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.20 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ross Colton C | 12:39 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.35 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L | 16:54 | +0.16 | +0.16 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Cal Foote D | 13:41 | +0.14 | +0.20 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Riley Nash C | 8:51 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jan Rutta D | 15:17 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Boris Katchouk L | 8:30 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Killorn L | 19:28 | +0.02 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan McDonagh D | 21:51 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Bogosian D | 17:44 | −0.08 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 19:49 | −0.33 | +0.21 | −0.55 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ondrej Palat L | 19:23 | −0.37 | −0.14 | −0.27 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Cirelli C | 20:05 | −0.47 | −0.20 | −0.25 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Steven Stamkos C | 22:12 | 1 | −0.79 | −0.05 | −0.64 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.08 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy G | 63:18 | +0.27 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.