DAL beat CHI 5–4 in overtime. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 4.6 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jason Robertson scored at 4:30 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.7 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:53 | CHI | Alex DeBrincat from Pius Suter | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 1:22 | CHI | Pius Suter from Alex DeBrincat, Dylan Strome | 0–2 | 69% → 82% |
| P1 15:30 | DAL | Joe Pavelski from John Klingberg, Joel Hanley | 1–2 | 16% → 29% |
| P2 16:28 | CHI | Dylan Strome from Vinnie Hinostroza, Dominik Kubalik | 1–3 | 76% → 91% |
| P2 19:58 | DAL | Miro HeiskanenPP from John Klingberg, Jamie Benn | 2–3 | 9% → 23% |
| P3 8:18 | CHI | Vinnie Hinostroza from David Kampf, Mike Hardman | 2–4 | 82% → 95% |
| P3 10:24 | DAL | Joel Kiviranta from Denis Gurianov, Miro Heiskanen | 3–4 | 4% → 17% |
| P3 12:18 | DAL | Jason Dickinson from Jason Robertson | 4–4 | 15% → 49% |
| OT 4:30 | DAL | Jason Robertson from Jamie Benn, John Klingberg | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson L | 20:54 | 1 | 1 | +1.03 | +0.35 | +0.25 | +0.26 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| John Klingberg D | 22:25 | 3 | +0.85 | +0.41 | −0.12 | +0.39 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Miro Heiskanen D | 25:40 | 1 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.03 | +0.35 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Jamie Benn L | 19:10 | 2 | +0.49 | +0.30 | −0.07 | +0.22 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Joel Kiviranta L | 13:37 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.09 | +0.37 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joe Pavelski C | 17:44 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.05 | +0.26 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Jason Dickinson C | 18:45 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.02 | +0.31 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Joel Hanley D | 13:31 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.16 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrej Sekera D | 16:58 | +0.11 | +0.31 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 22:50 | +0.10 | +0.28 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 25:07 | +0.03 | +0.08 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denis Gurianov R | 15:20 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.17 | +0.14 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Cogliano C | 14:04 | −0.08 | +0.16 | −0.13 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Kero C | 11:14 | −0.12 | +0.14 | −0.18 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Comeau L | 17:12 | −0.16 | +0.24 | −0.31 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Mark Pysyk D | 10:20 | −0.17 | +0.15 | −0.29 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Dowling C | 9:22 | −0.18 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 15:59 | −0.24 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 63:35 | −1.72 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pius Suter C | 21:57 | 1 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.05 | +0.34 | +0.09 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 |
| Vinnie Hinostroza C | 15:19 | 1 | 1 | +0.36 | −0.03 | +0.40 | +0.18 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 24:21 | 1 | 1 | +0.33 | −0.09 | +0.36 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Dylan Strome C | 16:14 | 1 | 1 | +0.33 | −0.13 | +0.39 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| David Kampf C | 18:00 | 1 | +0.24 | −0.12 | −0.05 | +0.19 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.05 | |
| Mike Hardman L | 11:32 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nikita Zadorov D | 21:06 | −0.05 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Riley Stillman D | 20:34 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Beaudin D | 10:15 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ian Mitchell D | 11:16 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.03 | +0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 24:06 | −0.15 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Hagel L | 19:08 | −0.22 | +0.03 | −0.17 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Regula D | 11:46 | −0.23 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| MacKenzie Entwistle R | 9:27 | −0.32 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.02 | ||
| Wyatt Kalynuk D | 19:45 | −0.34 | −0.10 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 24:23 | −0.36 | +0.01 | −0.33 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 13:51 | −0.41 | −0.28 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Dominik Kubalik L | 20:13 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.45 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Collin Delia G | 64:30 | −0.13 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.