DAL beat TBL 3–2 in overtime. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jamie Benn scored at 2:07 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | TBL–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 13:41 | TBL | Steven Stamkos from Nikita Kucherov, Jan Rutta | 1–0 | 47% → 70% |
| P2 17:49 | DAL | Denis Gurianov from Tyler Seguin, Esa Lindell | 1–1 | 29% → 53% |
| P3 9:06 | DAL | Jamie Benn from Blake Comeau | 1–2 | 52% → 82% |
| P3 18:34 | TBL | Steven StamkosPP from Victor Hedman, Nikita Kucherov | 2–2 | 6% → 50% |
| OT 2:07 | DAL | Jamie Benn unassisted | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
TBL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Stamkos C | 20:30 | 2 | +1.11 | −0.17 | +1.26 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Carter Verhaeghe C | 5:56 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan McDonagh D | 18:27 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Yanni Gourde C | 10:40 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 19:29 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jan Rutta D | 13:06 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Killorn L | 18:04 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Cernak D | 16:11 | −0.14 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mitchell Stephens C | 8:45 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Victor Hedman D | 26:37 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.13 | −0.13 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mikhail Sergachev D | 22:25 | −0.23 | −0.24 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Cirelli C | 18:24 | −0.30 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Brayden Point C | 20:19 | −0.31 | −0.18 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Ondrej Palat L | 17:19 | −0.37 | −0.13 | −0.26 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cedric Paquette C | 12:40 | −0.39 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.02 | ||
| Patrick Maroon L | 13:39 | −0.40 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Johnson C | 15:43 | −0.56 | −0.11 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.02 | ||
| Nikita Kucherov R | 20:29 | 2 | −0.68 | −0.07 | −0.47 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy G | 61:45 | +0.95 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn L | 16:33 | 2 | +1.63 | +0.24 | +1.32 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Denis Gurianov R | 14:56 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.24 | +0.62 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Klingberg D | 20:26 | +0.52 | +0.34 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 20:02 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.32 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Esa Lindell D | 26:06 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.24 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Cogliano C | 6:52 | +0.17 | +0.08 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Roman Polak D | 19:47 | +0.08 | +0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 15:04 | +0.04 | +0.15 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Radulov R | 16:06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Roope Hintz C | 0:20 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 20:31 | −0.05 | +0.17 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Comeau L | 16:53 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.09 | −0.31 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Stephen Johns D | 13:53 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 19:19 | −0.29 | +0.03 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 17:27 | −0.40 | +0.20 | −0.28 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.35 | +0.01 | ||
| Mattias Janmark C | 18:03 | −0.45 | −0.10 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 14:59 | −0.47 | −0.14 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 21:07 | −0.48 | +0.25 | −0.91 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Bishop G | 62:00 | +0.31 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.