NYR beat DET 2–0. NYR also won the expected-goals battle 2.1 to 1.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Sean Durzi scored on the power play at 5:12 of the first, moving NYR’s win probability from 47% to 63%. Dylan Garand saved 2.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:12 |  NYR | Sean DurziPP from Gabe Perreault, Will Cuylle | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P3 18:44 | NYR | Eeli TolvanenEN from Tye Kartye, Adam Fox | 2–0 | 94% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaroslav Chmelar R | 9:11 | +0.26 | +0.03 | −0.06 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.31 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Durzi D | 19:19 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.09 | +0.40 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.16 | +0.00 | |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 13:22 | +0.22 | +0.10 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabe Perreault R | 15:24 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.10 | −0.17 | +0.15 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marcus Pettersson D | 21:56 | +0.06 | +0.15 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 17:30 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Tye Kartye L | 15:12 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.10 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joe Veleno C | 13:34 | +0.00 | +0.08 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 21:07 | −0.00 | +0.07 | −0.01 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 11:26 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Braden Schneider D | 16:36 | −0.03 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 21:21 | −0.04 | +0.10 | −0.06 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 21:30 | −0.05 | +0.13 | −0.04 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Will Cuylle L | 14:43 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.12 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Fox D | 22:50 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.11 | −0.17 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Laba C | 12:05 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 17:28 | −0.13 | +0.12 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Alberts Smits D | 11:26 | −0.20 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.16 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Garand G | 60:00 | +2.29 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Appleton C | 10:18 | +0.10 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Keegan Kolesar R | 10:23 | +0.03 | +0.12 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Compher L | 16:28 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Albert Johansson D | 17:29 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 18:31 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Kasper C | 10:50 | −0.10 | +0.06 | −0.18 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård R | 9:39 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.17 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anton Johansson D | 19:10 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 14:54 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Moritz Seider D | 25:16 | −0.25 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Danielson C | 9:41 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 19:43 | −0.28 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | 16:27 | −0.30 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Emmitt Finnie C | 14:24 | −0.30 | −0.10 | −0.12 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 16:17 | −0.30 | −0.22 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 22:17 | −0.33 | −0.26 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Lucas Raymond L | 20:01 | −0.35 | −0.25 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Faulk D | 21:29 | −0.37 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.16 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 59:02 | +1.07 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.