UTA beat CHI 6–0. UTA also won the expected-goals battle 3.8 to 1.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dylan Guenther scored on the power play at 16:41 of the first, moving UTA’s win probability from 54% to 71%. Arvid Soderblom allowed 2.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–UTA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 16:41 |  UTA | Dylan GuentherPP from Logan Cooley, Clayton Keller | 0–1 | 54% → 71% |
| P1 17:21 | UTA | Michael Carcone from Kevin Stenlund | 0–2 | 71% → 85% |
| P2 9:47 | UTA | Nick Schmaltz from Vincent Trocheck, Mikhail Sergachev | 0–3 | 88% → 96% |
| P2 13:06 | UTA | Anders Lee from Andrew Peeke, Dmitri Simashev | 0–4 | 97% → 100% |
| P2 15:28 | UTA | Dylan GuentherPP from Clayton Keller, Lawson Crouse | 0–5 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 12:50 | UTA | Daniil But from Michael Carcone, Nate Schmidt | 0–6 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Cole D | 14:52 | +0.07 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Greenway L | 13:52 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Nazar C | 17:23 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Roman Kantserov R | 16:36 | −0.16 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nick Lardis L | 10:18 | −0.16 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 11:54 | −0.16 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 19:49 | −0.17 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Rinzel D | 17:30 | −0.17 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 13:00 | −0.18 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Smith L | 14:13 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.10 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 17:04 | −0.20 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 18:18 | −0.21 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 18:15 | −0.21 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Moore C | 11:25 | −0.23 | −0.09 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 19:51 | −0.27 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Bowen Byram D | 24:49 | −0.27 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 19:19 | −0.33 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Anton Frondell C | 18:10 | −0.45 | −0.13 | −0.14 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.11 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 60:00 | −2.40 |
UTA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Guenther R | 14:33 | 2 | +0.76 | +0.16 | +0.66 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Michael Carcone L | 12:40 | 1 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.03 | +0.40 | +0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Daniil But L | 12:08 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.04 | +0.41 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Logan Cooley C | 16:07 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.16 | −0.02 | +0.21 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Nick Schmaltz C | 18:12 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.13 | +0.21 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Kevin Stenlund C | 12:58 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.25 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 17:05 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vincent Trocheck C | 17:29 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.07 | −0.06 | +0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Anders Lee C | 12:07 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.12 | +0.17 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Clayton Keller R | 17:43 | 2 | +0.22 | +0.14 | −0.25 | +0.34 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mikhail Sergachev D | 22:57 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.21 | −0.12 | +0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nate Schmidt D | 18:56 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dmitri Simashev D | 16:34 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.09 | −0.07 | +0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Lawson Crouse L | 15:15 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.07 | −0.13 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.16 | +0.01 | |
| John Marino D | 21:22 | +0.05 | +0.07 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack McBain C | 13:26 | −0.02 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| MacKenzie Weegar D | 20:39 | −0.08 | +0.18 | −0.06 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Barrett Hayton C | 13:49 | −0.35 | +0.05 | −0.23 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.16 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka G | 60:00 | +0.99 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.