NJD beat PHI 3–2 in overtime. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 4.5 to 1.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jack Hughes scored at 3:23 of overtime, moving NJD’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Joseph Woll saved 1.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 11:12 |  PHI | Rasmus RistolainenPP from Travis Sanheim, Travis Konecny | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 17:58 |  NJD | Dougie Hamilton unassisted | 1–1 | 28% → 53% |
| P3 5:33 | PHI | Travis Sanheim from Sean Couturier | 2–1 | 48% → 76% |
| P3 9:44 | NJD | Luke Hughes from Luke Evangelista | 2–2 | 20% → 52% |
| OT 3:23 | NJD | Jack Hughes from Jesper Bratt | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 22:44 | 1 | +0.54 | −0.10 | +0.64 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 8:30 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.13 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 13:24 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.10 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Simon Benoit D | 13:32 | −0.14 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 25:47 | 1 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.37 | +0.39 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Nick Seeler D | 14:43 | −0.19 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 15:12 | −0.22 | −0.05 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Cam York D | 24:01 | −0.25 | −0.17 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Bump L | 8:18 | −0.27 | −0.23 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Porter Martone R | 12:33 | −0.28 | −0.18 | −0.02 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noel Acciari C | 16:36 | −0.30 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.16 | +0.01 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 18:50 | −0.41 | −0.26 | −0.12 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 17:31 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.43 | −0.06 | +0.21 | −0.00 | −0.16 | +0.01 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 16:59 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.25 | −0.12 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 20:39 | −0.50 | −0.44 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 20:45 | −0.53 | −0.25 | −0.05 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.16 | −0.02 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 16:05 | −0.61 | −0.53 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 17:12 | −0.86 | −0.48 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.16 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joseph Woll G | 64:43 | +1.93 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Pesce D | 19:32 | +0.60 | +0.37 | −0.01 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 21:32 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.46 | +0.27 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Luke Hughes D | 24:17 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.24 | +0.29 | −0.26 | −0.02 | +0.16 | +0.00 | |
| Jack Hughes C | 25:48 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.33 | +0.21 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 | |
| Jesper Bratt L | 21:16 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.49 | −0.52 | +0.26 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 20:40 | +0.20 | +0.25 | −0.01 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nico Hischier C | 19:22 | +0.12 | +0.32 | −0.11 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 14:48 | +0.09 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Evan Rodrigues C | 17:13 | −0.00 | +0.13 | −0.07 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Amadeus Lombardi C | 8:11 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 17:24 | −0.07 | +0.05 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Timo Meier R | 16:41 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.27 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.16 | −0.01 | ||
| Declan Chisholm D | 14:32 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Stefan Noesen R | 6:09 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Arseny Gritsyuk R | 18:43 | −0.12 | +0.11 | −0.09 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Evangelista R | 18:36 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.17 | −0.25 | +0.11 | −0.00 | −0.16 | +0.00 | |
| Dawson Mercer C | 16:08 | −0.18 | +0.17 | −0.28 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Glass C | 8:35 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 63:23 | +0.28 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.