PIT beat PHI 7–0. PIT also won the expected-goals battle 4.1 to 1.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Nicholas Robertson scored at 7:26 of the first, moving PIT’s win probability from 47% to 63%. Dan Vladar allowed 2.2 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PIT–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:26 | PIT | Nicholas Robertson from Kris Letang, Sidney Crosby | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 15:44 | PIT | Ville Koivunen from Samuel Girard, Kaedan Korczak | 2–0 | 65% → 79% |
| P2 5:03 | PIT | Evgeni MalkinPP from Hendrix Lapierre, Tommy Novak | 3–0 | 83% → 94% |
| P2 7:26 | PIT | Hendrix Lapierre from Filip Hallander, Declan Carlile | 4–0 | 95% → 99% |
| P2 10:23 | PIT | Filip Hallander from Kaedan Korczak, Samuel Girard | 5–0 | 99% → 99% |
| P3 11:52 | PIT | Nicholas RobertsonSH from Filip Hallander | 6–0 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 16:37 | PIT | Egor ChinakhovPP from Erik Karlsson, Rickard Rakell | 7–0 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Robertson L | 15:02 | 2 | +1.28 | +0.03 | +1.28 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Hendrix Lapierre C | 13:02 | 1 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.05 | +0.77 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.11 | −0.02 |
| Evgeni Malkin C | 15:47 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.02 | +0.71 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Egor Chinakhov R | 16:58 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.01 | +0.73 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ville Koivunen R | 13:50 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.06 | +0.63 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Filip Hallander C | 10:55 | 1 | 2 | +0.50 | +0.09 | +0.31 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.11 | +0.00 |
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 20:42 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elmer Soderblom L | 12:39 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 18:32 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.11 | +0.00 | |
| Samuel Girard D | 21:02 | 2 | −0.07 | +0.06 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.11 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Dewar C | 14:51 | −0.09 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.11 | −0.01 | ||
| Tommy Novak C | 16:04 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.09 | |
| Kaedan Korczak D | 18:31 | 2 | −0.14 | +0.08 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Karlsson D | 19:59 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.07 | −0.28 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sidney Crosby C | 17:39 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.28 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Declan Carlile D | 16:30 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.10 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.22 | +0.00 | |
| Kris Letang D | 18:44 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.01 | −0.36 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Blake Lizotte C | 13:13 | −0.50 | +0.10 | −0.58 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs G | 60:00 | +1.26 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bump L | 14:39 | +0.11 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.22 | +0.00 | ||
| Simon Benoit D | 18:29 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.11 | +0.00 | ||
| Noel Acciari C | 15:20 | +0.08 | +0.04 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 15:04 | +0.06 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 12:01 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 14:17 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 19:54 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.11 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 21:08 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 14:58 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 17:40 | −0.12 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 17:08 | −0.16 | −0.06 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 17:21 | −0.19 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.11 | +0.00 | ||
| Porter Martone R | 14:05 | −0.21 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.11 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 16:25 | −0.25 | −0.13 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 15:47 | −0.26 | −0.10 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 14:11 | −0.30 | −0.06 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 20:15 | −0.31 | −0.14 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 14:47 | −0.34 | −0.04 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.11 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 59:41 | −2.18 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.