VGK beat CHI 5–2. VGK also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Victor Olofsson scored on the power play at 10:30 of the first, moving VGK’s win probability from 54% to 70%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–VGK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:30 | VGK | Victor OlofssonPP from Jack Eichel, Shea Theodore | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P1 15:22 | VGK | Trevor Connelly from Brayden McNabb, Shea Theodore | 0–2 | 71% → 84% |
| P2 12:23 |  CHI | Jordan Greenway from Ryan Greene, Wyatt Kaiser | 1–2 | 11% → 26% |
| P2 15:12 | VGK | Jack Eichel from Ivan Barbashev, Brayden McNabb | 1–3 | 75% → 90% |
| P3 4:04 | CHI | Patrick Kane unassisted | 2–3 | 6% → 21% |
| P3 4:43 | VGK | Noah Hanifin from Nic Dowd, Marc Gatcomb | 2–4 | 79% → 94% |
| P3 17:27 | VGK | Mark StoneEN from Jack Eichel, Ivan Barbashev | 2–5 | 99% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kane R | 21:36 | 1 | +0.57 | −0.05 | +0.59 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Greenway L | 14:08 | 1 | +0.54 | −0.01 | +0.56 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 16:51 | +0.08 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Smith L | 15:16 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 20:37 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Donato C | 12:50 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Oliver Moore C | 13:57 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 19:14 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Lardis L | 11:44 | −0.12 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.06 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Mangiapane L | 5:23 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Rinzel D | 18:16 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.06 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 14:43 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Roman Kantserov R | 17:07 | −0.14 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Bowen Byram D | 25:08 | −0.15 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 20:01 | −0.15 | −0.12 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ian Cole D | 12:40 | −0.18 | −0.08 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | ||
| Anton Frondell C | 17:40 | −0.20 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Nazar C | 18:01 | −0.44 | +0.05 | −0.48 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight G | 59:47 | −0.08 |
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Olofsson R | 13:57 | 1 | +0.92 | +0.10 | +0.82 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Jack Eichel C | 18:00 | 1 | 2 | +0.77 | −0.02 | +0.74 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Noah Hanifin D | 18:51 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.66 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Connelly L | 11:22 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.07 | +0.50 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| William Karlsson C | 17:26 | +0.19 | +0.09 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Shea Theodore D | 21:22 | 2 | +0.12 | +0.16 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Stone R | 17:11 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brayden McNabb D | 18:45 | 2 | +0.02 | +0.11 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nic Dowd C | 12:37 | 1 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Ivan Barbashev L | 14:27 | 2 | −0.12 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Braeden Bowman R | 10:58 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 17:20 | −0.15 | +0.07 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 20:08 | −0.17 | −0.12 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Andersson D | 18:46 | −0.19 | −0.09 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 17:16 | −0.23 | +0.16 | −0.38 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mitch Marner R | 21:21 | −0.29 | +0.10 | −0.42 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc Gatcomb C | 10:31 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.00 | −0.32 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tomas Hertl C | 15:45 | −0.61 | +0.10 | −0.70 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart G | 59:57 | +0.21 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.