BOS beat NYR 3–0. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 2.7 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Fraser Minten scored at 16:14 of the third, moving BOS’s win probability from 51% to 90%. Jeremy Swayman saved 2.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 16:14 | BOS | Fraser Minten from Mason Lohrei | 0–1 | 51% → 90% |
| P3 17:06 | BOS | JJ Peterka from Elias Lindholm, Hampus Lindholm | 0–2 | 92% → 99% |
| P3 17:29 | BOS | Mark KastelicEN from Fraser Minten, Marat Khusnutdinov | 0–3 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 19:58 | +0.06 | +0.15 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 18:17 | +0.01 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.06 | +0.01 | ||
| Tye Kartye L | 13:20 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alberts Smits D | 16:54 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 16:12 | −0.05 | +0.18 | −0.27 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 15:57 | −0.07 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Gabe Perreault R | 16:20 | −0.07 | −0.11 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Braden Schneider D | 16:14 | −0.10 | +0.10 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fox D | 18:25 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Laba C | 12:56 | −0.15 | −0.13 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.06 | +0.01 | ||
| Matt Rempe C | 9:49 | −0.18 | −0.02 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Durzi D | 23:15 | −0.19 | −0.05 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Pettersson D | 23:08 | −0.23 | −0.17 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 18:31 | −0.25 | −0.10 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 13:56 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 14:33 | −0.27 | +0.16 | −0.43 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Cuylle L | 15:03 | −0.27 | −0.08 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 15:49 | −0.41 | +0.16 | −0.57 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin G | 59:23 | +0.41 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Peterka R | 17:09 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.04 | +0.79 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Fraser Minten C | 14:48 | 1 | 1 | +0.44 | −0.15 | +0.62 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Hampus Lindholm D | 18:37 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.16 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.06 | +0.00 | |
| Elias Lindholm C | 15:59 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.08 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Will Borgen D | 17:43 | +0.03 | +0.13 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Kastelic C | 13:07 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tanner Jeannot L | 13:13 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.06 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 16:18 | −0.06 | +0.15 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jonathan Aspirot D | 17:13 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 19:21 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 13:23 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.11 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 17:32 | −0.15 | +0.04 | −0.22 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Clifton D | 23:23 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 21:54 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 14:28 | −0.22 | +0.16 | −0.37 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 15:01 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| James Hagens C | 13:27 | −0.25 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 15:24 | −0.26 | +0.09 | −0.39 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 60:00 | +2.90 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.