COL beat SEA 2–0. COL also won the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 1.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Nick Blankenburg scored at 17:38 of the second, moving COL’s win probability from 53% to 77%. Scott Wedgewood saved 1.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SEA–COL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 17:38 |  COL | Nick Blankenburg from Brent Burns, Valeri Nichushkin | 0–1 | 53% → 77% |
| P3 12:19 | COL | Parker Kelly from Cale Makar, Valeri Nichushkin | 0–2 | 85% → 97% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jani Nyman R | 12:09 | +0.01 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 14:54 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matty Beniers C | 15:34 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.19 | −0.05 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 19:16 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Cale Fleury D | 15:42 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Lindgren D | 16:58 | −0.09 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shane Wright C | 13:28 | −0.14 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 15:10 | −0.18 | −0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 15:13 | −0.18 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 12:18 | −0.20 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Winterton C | 13:53 | −0.22 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Berkly Catton C | 15:07 | −0.23 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Meyers C | 14:35 | −0.29 | −0.20 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Bobby McMann C | 16:36 | −0.30 | −0.14 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 21:54 | −0.32 | −0.20 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryker Evans D | 19:06 | −0.37 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Montour D | 21:57 | −0.42 | −0.12 | −0.30 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 20:36 | −0.83 | −0.26 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.39 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Ostman G | 65:45 | +1.04 |
COL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Kelly C | 13:37 | 1 | +0.97 | +0.11 | +0.69 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Blankenburg D | 15:24 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.15 | +0.76 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Logan O'Connor R | 13:47 | +0.34 | +0.21 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Barré-Boulet C | 13:02 | +0.12 | +0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Zakhar Bardakov C | 11:31 | +0.10 | +0.05 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Jack Drury C | 15:24 | +0.09 | +0.24 | −0.15 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Cale Makar D | 21:22 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.06 | −0.23 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Brent Burns D | 17:14 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.22 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Brett Kulak D | 19:20 | +0.04 | +0.10 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 19:21 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Jason Polin R | 11:37 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Roy C | 16:42 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 18:13 | 2 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Devon Toews D | 22:24 | −0.07 | +0.22 | −0.34 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Malinski D | 19:57 | −0.10 | +0.18 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 17:40 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ross Colton C | 14:27 | −0.21 | +0.22 | −0.38 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joel Kiviranta L | 14:22 | −0.42 | +0.22 | −0.63 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood G | 60:00 | +1.05 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.