PHI beat MTL 4–2. PHI lost the expected-goals battle 1.6 to 2.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Porter Martone scored on the power play at 8:08 of the first, moving PHI’s win probability from 53% to 70%. Jakub Dobes allowed 2.0 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MTL–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:08 | PHI | Porter MartonePP from Matvei Michkov, Oliver Bonk | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 14:42 | PHI | Oliver Bonk from Matvei Michkov, Hunter McDonald | 0–2 | 71% → 84% |
| P2 6:50 |  MTL | Brendan Gallagher from Kaiden Guhle, Alexandre Texier | 1–2 | 13% → 27% |
| P2 13:52 | PHI | Matvei Michkov unassisted | 1–3 | 75% → 90% |
| P2 19:49 | MTL | Jake Evans from Arber Xhekaj, Joe Veleno | 2–3 | 8% → 23% |
| P3 12:00 | PHI | Alex Bump from Porter Martone | 2–4 | 85% → 97% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Gallagher R | 11:34 | 1 | +1.05 | +0.03 | +0.81 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Evans C | 11:15 | 1 | +0.47 | +0.01 | +0.44 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Lane Hutson D | 26:08 | +0.21 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Suzuki C | 22:54 | +0.08 | +0.07 | −0.10 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 10:16 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Kaiden Guhle D | 17:20 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.10 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jayden Struble D | 17:17 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kirby Dach C | 11:08 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Demidov R | 20:06 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Reinbacher D | 15:00 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexandre Texier L | 16:54 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Oliver Kapanen C | 12:16 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Adam Engstrom D | 15:28 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Arber Xhekaj D | 19:46 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.04 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Newhook C | 15:39 | −0.22 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Zachary Bolduc R | 12:57 | −0.26 | −0.08 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Juraj Slafkovský L | 22:29 | −0.41 | +0.00 | −0.41 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Cole Caufield R | 21:21 | −0.65 | +0.09 | −0.94 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes G | 56:12 | −1.99 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Bonk D | 16:28 | 1 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.02 | +0.89 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alex Bump L | 16:53 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.04 | +0.73 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Porter Martone R | 17:37 | 1 | 1 | +0.65 | +0.11 | +0.55 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Matvei Michkov R | 16:18 | 1 | 2 | +0.36 | −0.01 | +0.37 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Noah Juulsen D | 21:45 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Gaucher C | 8:56 | +0.02 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 12:43 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denver Barkey C | 17:38 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Emil Andrae D | 21:19 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 14:57 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Anthony Richard C | 7:08 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Jiricek D | 19:37 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garrett Wilson L | 7:53 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 26:32 | −0.15 | +0.07 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Hunter McDonald D | 15:11 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 13:10 | −0.24 | −0.01 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 17:50 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 18:17 | −0.40 | −0.04 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ersson G | 59:48 | +1.07 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.