BOS beat NJD 4–0. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 2.6 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Morgan Geekie scored at 0:53 of the first, moving BOS’s win probability from 53% to 69%. Jeremy Swayman saved 2.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NJD–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:53 |  BOS | Morgan Geekie from David Pastrnak, Fraser Minten | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 6:14 | BOS | Mark Kastelic from Tanner Jeannot, Sean Kuraly | 0–2 | 70% → 83% |
| P1 17:42 | BOS | Mark Kastelic from Sean Kuraly, Mason Lohrei | 0–3 | 85% → 93% |
| P1 19:52 | BOS | Viktor Arvidsson from Pavel Zacha, Hampus Lindholm | 0–4 | 93% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Meier R | 15:45 | +0.25 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Simon Nemec D | 21:39 | +0.06 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nico Hischier C | 17:47 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 19:23 | +0.04 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Topias Vilen D | 18:27 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Bjugstad C | 13:02 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 19:37 | −0.01 | +0.06 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maxim Tsyplakov R | 11:50 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Marc McLaughlin C | 10:18 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Johnathan Kovacevic D | 19:43 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 19:52 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Brown R | 18:10 | −0.17 | +0.03 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 18:59 | −0.18 | −0.05 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgenii Dadonov L | 11:08 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Glass C | 14:17 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jack Hughes C | 21:07 | −0.27 | +0.00 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.13 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 16:25 | −0.32 | +0.04 | −0.34 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 12:31 | −0.57 | −0.03 | −0.52 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Daws G | 60:00 | −1.17 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Kastelic C | 13:47 | 2 | +1.33 | +0.03 | +1.26 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 13:17 | 1 | +0.74 | −0.03 | +0.76 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Morgan Geekie C | 16:42 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.05 | +0.49 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Fraser Minten C | 17:04 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Hampus Lindholm D | 19:47 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.08 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Elias Lindholm C | 16:46 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 15:22 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 21:53 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.08 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 20:16 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 4:58 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 18:18 | −0.05 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James Hagens C | 15:58 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 15:06 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Kuraly C | 17:53 | 2 | −0.16 | +0.03 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 17:08 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.05 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Aspirot D | 20:58 | −0.25 | −0.10 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Eyssimont C | 13:37 | −0.28 | −0.03 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 19:10 | −0.32 | −0.01 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 60:00 | +2.16 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.