NJD beat OTT 4–3 in overtime. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 3.8 to 3.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Nico Hischier scored on the power play at 3:18 of overtime, moving NJD’s win probability from 54% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | OTT–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:12 |  NJD | Nico Hischier from Dawson Mercer, Timo Meier | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 14:51 | NJD | Connor BrownSH from Jack Hughes | 0–2 | 70% → 84% |
| P2 7:42 | OTT | Michael Amadio from Artem Zub, Nick Cousins | 1–2 | 12% → 27% |
| P2 10:25 | OTT | Shane PintoPP from Claude Giroux, Drake Batherson | 2–2 | 27% → 47% |
| P2 14:14 | OTT | Fabian Zetterlund unassisted | 3–2 | 47% → 70% |
| P3 12:28 | NJD | Dawson MercerSH from Nico Hischier | 3–3 | 17% → 50% |
| OT 3:18 | NJD | Nico HischierPP from Jack Hughes, Dougie Hamilton | 3–4 | 54% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
OTT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Amadio R | 16:31 | 1 | +0.93 | −0.10 | +0.82 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Fabian Zetterlund L | 16:44 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.07 | +0.73 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan Cozens C | 17:32 | +0.12 | +0.35 | −0.44 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Cameron Crotty D | 11:32 | +0.11 | +0.14 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 13:58 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.08 | −0.11 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Dennis Gilbert D | 17:46 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ridly Greig C | 17:35 | −0.04 | +0.28 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Shane Pinto C | 21:33 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.62 | +0.55 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Kurtis MacDermid L | 5:46 | −0.11 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 16:01 | −0.12 | +0.05 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Lars Eller C | 16:01 | −0.13 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artem Zub D | 26:28 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Stephen Halliday C | 12:27 | −0.20 | +0.02 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lassi Thomson D | 16:06 | −0.21 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Cousins C | 13:50 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.03 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Drake Batherson R | 16:53 | 1 | −0.37 | +0.19 | −0.39 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Jordan Spence D | 26:36 | −0.48 | +0.11 | −0.35 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolas Matinpalo D | 20:35 | −0.64 | −0.48 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| James Reimer G | 63:18 | +0.33 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hischier C | 22:40 | 2 | 1 | +2.43 | +1.13 | +1.07 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.03 |
| Connor Brown R | 19:13 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.15 | +0.71 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Johnathan Kovacevic D | 16:40 | +0.29 | +0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 23:59 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.68 | −0.42 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jesper Bratt L | 19:58 | +0.06 | +0.59 | −0.76 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Topias Vilen D | 12:28 | +0.04 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 20:14 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Halonen L | 8:11 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 10:23 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Marc McLaughlin C | 8:27 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jack Hughes C | 25:32 | 2 | −0.11 | +0.31 | −0.23 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.04 | |
| Cody Glass C | 13:38 | −0.12 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 18:56 | 1 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.41 | +0.22 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Lenni Hameenaho R | 12:09 | −0.30 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Bjugstad C | 10:04 | −0.32 | −0.11 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 20:58 | −0.35 | −0.33 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Timo Meier R | 16:54 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.20 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Simon Nemec D | 24:03 | −0.77 | −0.85 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Daws G | 63:16 | +0.15 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.