SEA beat CGY 4–1. SEA also won the expected-goals battle 2.5 to 1.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Chandler Stephenson scored at 13:16 of the second, moving SEA’s win probability from 53% to 75%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CGY–SEA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 1:11 | CGY | Hunter Brzustewicz from Matt Coronato, Olli Maatta | 1–0 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 2:05 |  SEA | Frederick Gaudreau from Kaapo Kakko, Jared McCann | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 13:16 | SEA | Chandler Stephenson from Vince Dunn, Jaden Schwartz | 1–2 | 53% → 75% |
| P2 19:55 | SEA | Matty Beniers from Ryker Evans, Jamie Oleksiak | 1–3 | 77% → 92% |
| P3 18:31 | SEA | Jordan EberleEN from Ryker Evans | 1–4 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CGY
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brzustewicz D | 17:05 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.02 | +0.74 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Coronato R | 16:33 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Olli Maatta D | 23:06 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Yan Kuznetsov D | 18:02 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Pospisil C | 9:59 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Whitecloud D | 24:52 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Backlund C | 15:16 | −0.10 | +0.09 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 17:41 | −0.10 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 15:30 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Matvei Gridin R | 19:58 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Coleman L | 19:24 | −0.14 | +0.05 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aydar Suniev L | 12:25 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 16:02 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Zary C | 11:23 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 12:34 | −0.19 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Tyson Gross C | 11:58 | −0.26 | −0.09 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Abram Wiebe D | 11:19 | −0.30 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Zayne Parekh D | 22:06 | −0.34 | −0.10 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Devin Cooley G | 58:48 | −0.51 |
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matty Beniers C | 21:16 | 1 | +0.80 | −0.00 | +0.57 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Chandler Stephenson C | 16:59 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.75 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 15:16 | 1 | +0.40 | +0.13 | +0.28 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Adam Larsson D | 17:15 | +0.14 | +0.15 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 14:52 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.13 | −0.23 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Kaapo Kakko R | 13:12 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.10 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Ryan Lindgren D | 19:36 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oscar Fisker Molgaard C | 10:07 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 20:54 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryker Evans D | 19:26 | 2 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 18:46 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jaden Schwartz C | 13:54 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Montour D | 20:11 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 18:56 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.09 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Winterton C | 12:58 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 13:13 | −0.22 | −0.03 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Berkly Catton C | 11:42 | −0.25 | −0.05 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Bobby McMann C | 19:27 | −0.30 | −0.03 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Nikke Kokko G | 60:00 | +0.62 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.