WSH beat PIT 6–3. WSH also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 1.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Ryan Leonard scored at 6:02 of the second, moving WSH’s win probability from 47% to 67%. Arturs Silovs allowed 2.0 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–PIT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 1:39 | WSH | Aliaksei Protas from Ilya Protas | 1–0 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 2:05 |  PIT | Anthony Mantha from Ryan Shea, Tommy Novak | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 6:02 | WSH | Ryan Leonard from Pierre-Luc Dubois, Connor McMichael | 2–1 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 8:08 | WSH | Tom Wilson from Ilya Protas, Aliaksei Protas | 3–1 | 68% → 83% |
| P2 11:47 | PIT | Noel Acciari from Elmer Soderblom, Samuel Girard | 3–2 | 15% → 31% |
| P2 11:58 | WSH | Ryan Leonard from Cole Hutson, Justin Sourdif | 4–2 | 69% → 85% |
| P2 16:50 | PIT | Kevin Hayes from Ryan Shea | 4–3 | 12% → 29% |
| P3 5:56 | WSH | Ilya ProtasPP from Cole Hutson, Dylan Strome | 5–3 | 77% → 93% |
| P3 16:22 | WSH | Alex OvechkinEN from Tom Wilson | 6–3 | 99% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Leonard R | 14:00 | 2 | +1.63 | +0.09 | +1.54 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Aliaksei Protas L | 16:24 | 1 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.04 | +0.64 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Tom Wilson R | 16:44 | 1 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.05 | +0.54 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Ilya Protas L | 16:06 | 1 | 2 | +0.48 | +0.09 | +0.40 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Martin Fehérváry D | 19:37 | +0.27 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 20:00 | +0.18 | +0.12 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Sourdif C | 17:54 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.14 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Connor McMichael L | 15:02 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.13 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Ivan Miroshnichenko L | 11:54 | +0.14 | +0.04 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Chychrun D | 23:09 | +0.13 | +0.12 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Sandin D | 15:35 | +0.07 | +0.11 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 7:02 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Brandon Duhaime R | 14:42 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 20:01 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.08 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 17:56 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 19:53 | −0.14 | −0.07 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Hutson D | 19:02 | 2 | −0.28 | +0.02 | −0.30 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Ovechkin L | 14:59 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.02 | −0.52 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson G | 60:00 | −1.80 |
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mantha R | 13:19 | 1 | +0.63 | +0.05 | +0.59 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noel Acciari C | 15:01 | 1 | +0.62 | −0.10 | +0.71 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Hayes R | 14:51 | 1 | +0.56 | −0.09 | +0.87 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.02 | |
| Samuel Girard D | 20:43 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tommy Novak C | 14:32 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John St. Ivany D | 18:07 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ville Koivunen R | 17:49 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Clifton D | 24:10 | −0.06 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rutger McGroarty R | 14:49 | −0.07 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ryan Shea D | 25:12 | 2 | −0.09 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ilya Solovyov D | 15:42 | −0.11 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Graves D | 15:30 | −0.11 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elmer Soderblom L | 15:25 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Egor Chinakhov R | 16:08 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Avery Hayes R | 15:22 | −0.16 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joona Koppanen L | 12:10 | −0.17 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Justin Brazeau R | 12:27 | −0.17 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Rickard Rakell R | 16:57 | −0.41 | −0.09 | −0.28 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs G | 59:06 | −2.03 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.