LAK beat NSH 3–2 in a shootout. LAK lost the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 3.2 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Roman Josi scored at 4:18 of the third, moving NSH’s win probability from 21% to 48%. Anton Forsberg saved 2.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NSH–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:36 |  LAK | Joel Armia unassisted | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P2 4:29 |  NSH | Steven StamkosPP from Ryan O'Reilly, Roman Josi | 1–1 | 33% → 48% |
| P2 13:57 | LAK | Scott Laughton from Jared Wright | 1–2 | 53% → 75% |
| P3 4:18 | NSH | Roman Josi from Filip Forsberg, Erik Haula | 2–2 | 21% → 48% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Josi D | 28:09 | 1 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.27 | +0.38 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Steven Stamkos C | 21:38 | 1 | +0.36 | −0.01 | +0.42 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 19:25 | +0.27 | +0.10 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Erik Haula L | 15:41 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.35 | −0.10 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.08 | −0.00 | |
| Brady Skjei D | 22:45 | +0.07 | +0.09 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Wilsby D | 22:25 | −0.02 | +0.20 | −0.06 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Perbix D | 14:26 | −0.04 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Jost C | 13:57 | −0.09 | +0.18 | −0.16 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Fedor Svechkov C | 10:29 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ryan Ufko D | 13:25 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Forsberg L | 20:41 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.22 | −0.15 | +0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.38 | |
| Justin Barron D | 22:00 | −0.14 | +0.09 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joakim Kemell R | 10:11 | −0.16 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Zachary L'Heureux L | 13:49 | −0.19 | −0.04 | −0.11 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Matthew Wood R | 17:14 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.15 | −0.09 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Reid Schaefer L | 9:54 | −0.25 | −0.06 | −0.12 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 22:10 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.10 | +0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | |
| Luke Evangelista R | 16:41 | −0.55 | +0.10 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros G | 65:00 | +0.27 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe R | 19:21 | +0.37 | −0.35 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.79 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 14:56 | 1 | +0.34 | −0.06 | +0.41 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jared Wright R | 13:22 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.07 | −0.06 | +0.24 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 15:05 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.04 | +0.23 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.05 | −0.00 | |
| Taylor Ward R | 8:31 | +0.02 | +0.11 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Samuel Helenius C | 7:41 | −0.02 | +0.09 | −0.03 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 17:45 | −0.04 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 16:03 | −0.04 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 19:48 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.08 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.00 | ||
| Jeff Malott L | 7:47 | −0.10 | +0.12 | −0.19 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 20:52 | −0.17 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.04 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 25:14 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 21:29 | −0.19 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 23:31 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 20:55 | −0.21 | −0.07 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 20:45 | −0.31 | −0.17 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 17:43 | −0.48 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 20:52 | −0.69 | −0.40 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.16 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg G | 65:00 | +2.27 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.