PHI beat BOS 2–1 in overtime. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 1.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Porter Martone scored on the power play at 2:31 of overtime, moving PHI’s win probability from 63% to 100%. Joonas Korpisalo saved 1.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:19 | PHI | Christian Dvorak from Porter Martone, Rasmus Ristolainen | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P3 0:35 |  BOS | Pavel ZachaPP from Casey Mittelstadt, David Pastrnak | 1–1 | 24% → 48% |
| OT 2:31 | PHI | Porter MartonePP from Christian Dvorak, Trevor Zegras | 1–2 | 63% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Zacha C | 16:38 | 1 | +0.54 | −0.15 | +0.73 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Mark Kastelic C | 10:04 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 13:46 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 16:16 | +0.02 | +0.08 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 20:57 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lukas Reichel L | 11:45 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Aspirot D | 16:00 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 9:52 | −0.11 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 21:54 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 21:47 | −0.18 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 14:27 | −0.19 | −0.06 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Fraser Minten C | 15:08 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 14:18 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.08 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Elias Lindholm C | 19:06 | −0.25 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.09 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 11:20 | −0.29 | +0.02 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 18:57 | −0.48 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.39 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 25:39 | −0.50 | −0.27 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 21:39 | 1 | −0.85 | −0.00 | −0.51 | +0.07 | −0.01 | −0.39 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 62:31 | +1.61 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Dvorak C | 20:04 | 1 | 1 | +1.44 | +0.34 | +0.79 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.11 |
| Porter Martone R | 17:12 | 1 | 1 | +0.49 | +0.18 | +0.32 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Trevor Zegras C | 19:00 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.04 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.39 | −0.03 | |
| Emil Andrae D | 12:01 | +0.05 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 22:15 | +0.01 | +0.11 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 13:56 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 22:47 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.06 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 13:52 | −0.04 | −0.11 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Bump L | 11:42 | −0.06 | +0.11 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 20:43 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 10:43 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 18:11 | −0.09 | +0.22 | −0.30 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 16:41 | −0.12 | +0.08 | −0.20 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 17:02 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 25:52 | −0.16 | +0.03 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 18:27 | −0.20 | +0.19 | −0.39 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 13:35 | −0.31 | +0.12 | −0.44 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 10:57 | −0.39 | −0.03 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 62:31 | +0.73 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.